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We study the impact of transition scenario uncertainty, namely that of future carbon price and electricity demand, on the pace of decarbonization of the electricity industry. To this end, we develop a theory of optimal stopping mean-field…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-29 Roxana Dumitrescu , Marcos Leutscher , Peter Tankov

We develop a tractable equilibrium model for price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. Using stochastic control theory, we identify the optimal strategies of agents with market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

We develop a model for the long-term dynamics of electricity market, based on mean-field games of optimal stopping. Our paper extends the recent contribution [A\"id, Ren\'e, Roxana Dumitrescu, and Peter Tankov, ``The entry and exit game in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Alicia Bassière , Roxana Dumitrescu , Peter Tankov

We propose a mean field game (MFG) framework to model the evolution of renewable energy production in competitive electricity markets. Producers interact through the spot price while optimising their profits under production, installation,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Luciano Campi , Zhuoshu Wu

This paper studies the optimal investment behavior of renewable electricity producers in a competitive market, where both prices and installation costs are influenced by aggregate industry activity. We model the resulting crowding effects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Emma Hubert , Dimitrios Lolas , Ronnie Sircar

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Principal agent games are a growing area of research which focuses on the optimal behaviour of a principal and an agent, with the former contracting work from the latter, in return for providing a monetary award. While this field…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-28 Dena Firoozi , Arvind V Shrivats , Sebastian Jaimungal

In a game theoretic framework, we study energy markets with a continuum of homogenous producers who produce energy from an exhaustible resource such as oil. Each producer simultaneously optimizes production rate that drives her revenues, as…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-17 Michael Ludkovski , Xuwei Yang

Agents attempt to maximize expected profits earned by selling multiple units of a perishable product where their revenue streams are affected by the prices they quote as well as the distribution of other prices quoted in the market by other…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-16 Ryan Donnelly , Zi Li

We consider the mean-field game where each agent determines the optimal time to exit the game by solving an optimal stopping problem with reward function depending on the density of the state processes of agents still present in the game.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Géraldine Bouveret , Roxana Dumitrescu , Peter Tankov

We study optimal behavior of energy producers under a CO_2 emission abatement program. We focus on a two-player discrete-time model where each producer is sequentially optimizing her emission and production schedules. The game-theoretic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-08-24 Michael Ludkovski

We propose a market designed using game theory to optimally utilize the flexibility of distributed energy resources (DERs) like solar, batteries, electric vehicles, and flexible loads. Market agents perform multiperiod optimization to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-07 Vineet Jagadeesan Nair , Anuradha Annaswamy

We consider a continuum of carbon-emitting firms who seek to maximise their stock price, and a regulator (e.g., Government) who wishes for the economy to flourish, whilst simultaneously punishing firms who behave non-green. Interpreting the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Anna Aksamit , Kaustav Das , Ivan Guo , Kihun Nam , Zhou Zhou

In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin

The most serious threat to ecosystems is the global climate change fueled by the uncontrolled increase in carbon emissions. In this project, we use mean field control and mean field game models to analyze and inform the decisions of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Rene Carmona , Gokce Dayanikli , Mathieu Lauriere

In this paper, we analyze Nash equilibria between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers' strategies integrate the coupling of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-15 Mireille Bossy , Nadia Maizi , Odile Pourtallier

We consider a two-stage market mechanism for trading electricity including renewable generation as an alternative to the widely used multi-settlement market structure. The two-stage market structure allows for recourse decisions by the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Nathan Dahlin , Rahul Jain

Spot electricity markets are considered under a Game-Theoretic framework, where risk averse players submit orders to the market clearing mechanism to maximise their own utility. Consistent with the current practice in Europe, the market…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Ioan Alexandru Puiu , Raphael Andreas Hauser

This paper presents an application of mean field control to dynamic production optimization. Both noncooperative and cooperative solutions are considered. We first introduce a market of a large number of agents (firms) with sticky prices…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Bingchang Wang , Minyi Huang

The modelling of modern power markets requires the representation of the following main features: (i) a stochastic dynamic decision process, with uncertainties related to renewable production and fuel costs, among others; and (ii) a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Raphael Chabar
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