Related papers: Extended Coopetitive Soft Gating Ensemble
In future, vehicles and other traffic participants will be interconnected and equipped with various types of sensors, allowing for cooperation on different levels, such as situation prediction or intention detection. In this article we…
As a crucial technique for developing a smart city, traffic forecasting has become a popular research focus in academic and industrial communities for decades. This task is highly challenging due to complex and dynamic spatial-temporal…
Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…
Ensembles of forecasts are typically employed to account for the forecast uncertainties inherent in predictions of future weather states. However, biases and dispersion errors often present in forecast ensembles require statistical…
Merging satellite products and ground-based measurements is often required for obtaining precipitation datasets that simultaneously cover large regions with high density and are more accurate than pure satellite precipitation products.…
Benefiting from the intrinsic supervision information exploitation capability, contrastive learning has achieved promising performance in the field of deep graph clustering recently. However, we observe that two drawbacks of the positive…
Wind energy has significant potential owing to the continuous growth of wind power and advancements in technology. However, the evolution of wind speed is influenced by the complex interaction of multiple factors, making it highly variable.…
We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS).…
Probabilistic weather forecasts from ensemble systems require statistical postprocessing to yield calibrated and sharp predictive distributions. This paper presents an area-covering postprocessing method for ensemble precipitation…
The increasing penetration of renewable generation introduces uncertainty into power systems, challenging traditional deterministic optimization methods. Chance-constrained optimization offers an approach to balancing cost and risk;…
We present the first application of spectral nudging in a probabilistic ensemble forecasting framework, combining the physics-based ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System ensemble (IFS-ENS) with forecasts from the probabilistic machine-learned…
The method of nonlinear conjugate gradients (NCG) is widely used in practice for unconstrained optimization, but it satisfies weak complexity bounds at best when applied to smooth convex functions. In contrast, Nesterov's accelerated…
This article presents a holistic approach for probabilistic cyclist intention detection. A basic movement detection based on motion history images (MHI) and a residual convolutional neural network (ResNet) are used to estimate probabilities…
Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind…
A pre-trained generator has been frequently adopted in compressed sensing (CS) due to its ability to effectively estimate signals with the prior of NNs. In order to further refine the NN-based prior, we propose a framework that allows the…
Forecast ensembles are typically employed to account for prediction uncertainties in numerical weather prediction models. However, ensembles often exhibit biases and dispersion errors, thus they require statistical post-processing to…
Statistical postprocessing is used to translate ensembles of raw numerical weather forecasts into reliable probabilistic forecast distributions. In this study, we examine the use of permutation-invariant neural networks for this task. In…
We combine power-meter measurements with GPS measurements to study the model that accounts for the use of power by a cyclist. The model takes into account the change in elevation and speed along with adverse effects of air, rolling and…
Mixture of experts (MoE) has recently emerged as an effective framework to advance the efficiency and scalability of machine learning models by softly dividing complex tasks among multiple specialized sub-models termed experts. Central to…
Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…