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In future, vehicles and other traffic participants will be interconnected and equipped with various types of sensors, allowing for cooperation on different levels, such as situation prediction or intention detection. In this article we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Maarten Bieshaar , Stefan Zernetsch , Andreas Hubert , Bernhard Sick , Konrad Doll

As a crucial technique for developing a smart city, traffic forecasting has become a popular research focus in academic and industrial communities for decades. This task is highly challenging due to complex and dynamic spatial-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Jiajia Wu , Ling Chen

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Ensembles of forecasts are typically employed to account for the forecast uncertainties inherent in predictions of future weather states. However, biases and dispersion errors often present in forecast ensembles require statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sándor Baran , Annette Möller

Merging satellite products and ground-based measurements is often required for obtaining precipitation datasets that simultaneously cover large regions with high density and are more accurate than pure satellite precipitation products.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Anastasios Doulamis , Nikolaos Doulamis

Benefiting from the intrinsic supervision information exploitation capability, contrastive learning has achieved promising performance in the field of deep graph clustering recently. However, we observe that two drawbacks of the positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Xihong Yang , Yue Liu , Sihang Zhou , Siwei Wang , Wenxuan Tu , Qun Zheng , Xinwang Liu , Liming Fang , En Zhu

Wind energy has significant potential owing to the continuous growth of wind power and advancements in technology. However, the evolution of wind speed is influenced by the complex interaction of multiple factors, making it highly variable.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Yijun Geng , Jianzhou Wang , Jinze Li , Zhiwu Li

We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS).…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer , Luca Büermann

Probabilistic weather forecasts from ensemble systems require statistical postprocessing to yield calibrated and sharp predictive distributions. This paper presents an area-covering postprocessing method for ensemble precipitation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Lea Friedli , David Ginsbourger , Jonas Bhend

The increasing penetration of renewable generation introduces uncertainty into power systems, challenging traditional deterministic optimization methods. Chance-constrained optimization offers an approach to balancing cost and risk;…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Amir Bahador Javadi , Amin Kargarian

We present the first application of spectral nudging in a probabilistic ensemble forecasting framework, combining the physics-based ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System ensemble (IFS-ENS) with forecasts from the probabilistic machine-learned…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-09 Inna Polichtchouk , Simon Lang , Sarah-Jane Lock , Michael Maier-Gerber , Peter Dueben

The method of nonlinear conjugate gradients (NCG) is widely used in practice for unconstrained optimization, but it satisfies weak complexity bounds at best when applied to smooth convex functions. In contrast, Nesterov's accelerated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Sahar Karimi , Stephen Vavasis

This article presents a holistic approach for probabilistic cyclist intention detection. A basic movement detection based on motion history images (MHI) and a residual convolutional neural network (ResNet) are used to estimate probabilities…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Stefan Zernetsch , Hannes Reichert , Viktor Kress , Konrad Doll , Bernhard Sick

Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Ephrem Admasu Yekun , Alem H. Fitwib , Selvi Karpaga Subramaniand , Anubhav Kumard , Teshome Goa Tella

A pre-trained generator has been frequently adopted in compressed sensing (CS) due to its ability to effectively estimate signals with the prior of NNs. In order to further refine the NN-based prior, we propose a framework that allows the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Kyung-Su Kim , Jung Hyun Lee , Eunho Yang

Forecast ensembles are typically employed to account for prediction uncertainties in numerical weather prediction models. However, ensembles often exhibit biases and dispersion errors, thus they require statistical post-processing to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-09 Sándor Baran , Annette Möller

Statistical postprocessing is used to translate ensembles of raw numerical weather forecasts into reliable probabilistic forecast distributions. In this study, we examine the use of permutation-invariant neural networks for this task. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-22 Kevin Höhlein , Benedikt Schulz , Rüdiger Westermann , Sebastian Lerch

We combine power-meter measurements with GPS measurements to study the model that accounts for the use of power by a cyclist. The model takes into account the change in elevation and speed along with adverse effects of air, rolling and…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-03-18 Tomasz Danek , Michael A. Slawinski , Theodore Stanoev

Mixture of experts (MoE) has recently emerged as an effective framework to advance the efficiency and scalability of machine learning models by softly dividing complex tasks among multiple specialized sub-models termed experts. Central to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-06 Huy Nguyen , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo
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