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We investigate the moment estimation for an ergodic diffusion process with unknown trend coefficient. We consider nonparametric and parametric estimation. In each case, we present a lower bound for the risk and then construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Yury A. Kutoyants , Nakahiro Yoshida

We study the diffusion of an ensemble of overdamped particles sliding over a tilted random poten- tial (produced by the interaction of a particle with a random polymer) with long-range correlations. We found that the diffusion properties of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-04-11 R. Salgado-Garcia , Cesar Maldonado

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

We study an ergodic singular control problem with constraint of a regular one-dimensional linear diffusion. The constraint allows the agent to control the diffusion only at jump times of independent Poisson process. Under relatively weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Jukka Lempa , Harto Saarinen

We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

In this paper, we explore the two-star Exponential Random Graph Model, which is a two parameter exponential family on the space of simple labeled graphs. We introduce auxiliary variables to express the two-star model as a mixture of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Sumit Mukherjee , Yuanzhe Xu

We study the detection of change-points in time series. The classical CUSUM statistic for detection of jumps in the mean is known to be sensitive to outliers. We thus propose a robust test based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Herold Dehling , Roland Fried , Isabel García , Martin Wendler

Brownian yet non-Gaussian phenomenon has recently been observed in many biological and active matter systems. The main idea of explaining this phenomenon is to introduce a random diffusivity for particles moving in inhomogeneous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-19 Xudong Wang , Yao Chen

It is shown that in systems with time-dependent and/or spatially nonuniform temperature $T(t,x)$, (i) most of the transport processes is weakly non-ergodic, and (ii) the diffusion (Brownian motion, BM) is anomalous. A few examples of simple…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-06-21 Andrzej Fuliński

Recently, a series of papers proposed deep learning-based approaches to sample from target distributions using controlled diffusion processes, being trained only on the unnormalized target densities without access to samples. Building on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner

With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

Diffusion processes are fundamental in modelling stochastic dynamics in natural sciences. Recently, simulating such processes on complicated geometries has found applications for example in biology, where toroidal data arises naturally when…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Mathias Højgaard Jensen , Anton Mallasto , Stefan Sommer

We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

We consider a family of one-dimensional diffusions, in dynamical Wiener mediums, which are random perturbations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process. We prove quenched and annealed convergences in distribution and under weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-14 Yoann Offret

The global estimation problem of the drift function is considered for a large class of ergodic diffusion processes. The unknown drift $S(\cdot)$ is supposed to belong to a nonparametric class of smooth functions of order $k\geq1$, but the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arnak Dalalyan

In this paper, we consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series, which the true conditional distribution of the observations is assumed to be unknown. The conditional mean of the process depends on a parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

In this paper, we consider the robust adaptive non parametric estimation problem for the drift coefficient in diffusion processes. An adaptive model selection procedure, based on the improved weighted least square estimates, is proposed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Svyatoslav Perelevskiy , Irina Makarova

We construct a new random probability measure on the sphere and on the unit interval which in both cases has a Gibbs structure with the relative entropy functional as Hamiltonian. It satisfies a quasi-invariance formula with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Max-K von Renesse , Karl-Theodor Sturm

In this paper a concentration inequality is proved for the deviation in the ergodic theorem in the case of discrete time observations of diffusion processes. The proof is based on the geometric ergodicity property for diffusion processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-16 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov
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