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We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new type of test statistic for simple null hypothesis on one-dimensional ergodic diffusion processes sampled at discrete times. We deal with a quasi-likelihood approach for stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano M. Iacus

Motivated by applications in cybersecurity and epidemiology, we consider the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the intensity of a Poisson process, characterised by a jump (non transitory change) or a bump (transitory change) from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Magalie Fromont , Fabrice Grela , Ronan Le Guével

The aim of this paper is to study the behavior of the weighted empirical measures of the decreasing step Euler scheme of a one-dimensional diffusion process having multiple invariant measures. This situation can occur when the drift and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire

In this paper, we address high-dimensional parametric estimation of the drift function in diffusion models, specifically focusing on a $d$-dimensional ergodic diffusion process observed at discrete time points. We consider both a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Chiara Amorino , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

In this work, we are concerned with existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for path-dependent random diffusions and their time discretizations. The random diffusion here means a diffusion process living in a random environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan

This article demonstrates that flexible and statistically tractable multi-modal diffusion models can be attained by transformation of simple well-known diffusion models such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model, or more generally a Pearson…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-04 Julie Forman , Michael Sørensen

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

Suppose that a sequence of data points follows a distribution of a certain parametric form, but that one or more of the underlying parameters may change over time. This paper addresses various natural questions in such a framework. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nils Lid Hjort , Alex J. Koning

In this paper, we propose a drift-diffusion process on the probability simplex to study stochastic fluctuations in probability spaces. We construct a counting process for linear detailed balanced chemical reactions with finite species such…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Yuan Gao , Wuchen Li , Jian-Guo Liu

We consider parametric estimation of the continuous part of a class of ergodic diffusions with jumps based on high-frequency samples. Various papers previously proposed threshold based methods, which enable us to distinguish whether…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Hiroki Masuda , Yuma Uehara

This paper proposes consistent and asymptotically Gaussian estimators for the drift, the diffusion coefficient and the Hurst exponent of the discretely observed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. For the estimation of the drift, the…

Computation · Statistics 2011-12-19 Alexandre Brouste , Stefano M. Iacus

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Anomalous diffusion is an established phenomenon but still a theoretical challenge in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics. Physical models are built incrementally, and the most recent and most general family is based on the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Christian Bender , Yana A. Butko , Mirko D'Ovidio , Gianni Pagnini

We consider parametric hypotheses testing for multidimensional ergodic diffusion processes observed at discrete time. We propose a family of test statistics, related to the so called $\phi$-divergence measures. By taking into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-14 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano Iacus

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t)observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends to 0 and nDelta tends to infinity. We assume that (X_t) is ergodic, strictly stationary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Emeline Schmisser