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The implication problem for conditional independence (CI) asks whether the fact that a probability distribution obeys a given finite set of CI relations implies that a further CI statement also holds in this distribution. This problem has a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Mathias Drton , Leonard Henckel , Benjamin Hollering , Pratik Misra

Graphical models have long been studied in statistics as a tool for inferring conditional independence relationships among a large set of random variables. The most existing works in graphical modeling focus on the cases that the data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Siqi Liang , Faming Liang

Bayesian inference for graphical models has received much attention in the literature in recent years. It is well known that when the graph G is decomposable, Bayesian inference is significantly more tractable than in the general…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Kshitij Khare , Bala Rajaratnam , Abhishek Saha

Using a large set of daily US and Japanese stock returns, we test in detail the relevance of Student models, and of more general elliptical models, for describing the joint distribution of returns. We find that while Student copulas provide…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-05 Rémy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to represent conditional dependence among random variables. In this paper, we propose a novel estimator for data arising from a group of Gaussian graphical models that are themselves dependent. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-01 Yuying Xie , Yufeng Liu , William Valdar

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method to learn translation-invariant relationships on non-Euclidean domains. The resulting graph convolutional Gaussian processes can be applied to problems in machine learning for which the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Ian Walker , Ben Glocker

In this paper, we estimate the sparse dependence structure in the tail region of a multivariate random vector, potentially of high dimension. The tail dependence is modeled via a graphical model for extremes embedded in the H\"usler-Reiss…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Phyllis Wan , Chen Zhou

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

The chain graph model admits both undirected and directed edges in one graph, where symmetric conditional dependencies are encoded via undirected edges and asymmetric causal relations are encoded via directed edges. Though frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Ruixuan Zhao , Haoran Zhang , Junhui Wang

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We consider Gaussian graphical models associated with an equicorrelational and one-dimensional conditional independence graph. We show that pairwise correlation decays exponentially as a function of distance. We also provide a limit when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Guillaume Marrelec , Alain Giron , Laura Messio

The benefits of diversifying risks are difficult to estimate quantitatively because of the uncertainties in the dependence structure between the risks. Also, the modelling of multidimensional dependencies is a non-trivial task. This paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-11 Jean-Philippe Bruneton

This paper propose a novel decomposable graphical model to accommodate skew Gaussian graphical models. We encode conditional independence structure among the components of the multivariate closed skew normal random vector by means of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-23 Hamid Zareifard , Havard Rue , Majid Jafari Khaledi , Finn Lindgren

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

Gaussian graphical models have become a well-recognized tool for the analysis of conditional independencies within a set of continuous random variables. From an inferential point of view, it is important to realize that they are composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Jan Draisma , Sonja Kuhnt , Piotr Zwiernik

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

Undirected probabilistic graphical models represent the conditional dependencies, or Markov properties, of a collection of random variables. Knowing the sparsity of such a graphical model is valuable for modeling multivariate distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk , Rebecca E. Morrison , Olivier Zahm

Time series graphical models have recently received considerable attention for characterizing (conditional) dependence structures in multivariate time series. In many applications, the multivariate series exhibit variable-partitioned…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Qin Fang , Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang

We present a graphical criterion for reading dependencies from the minimal directed independence map G of a graphoid p when G is a polytree and p satisfies composition and weak transitivity. We prove that the criterion is sound and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Jose M. Pena

Conditional independence in a multivariate normal (or Gaussian) distribution is characterized by the vanishing of subdeterminants of the distribution's covariance matrix. Gaussian conditional independence models thus correspond to algebraic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-29 Mathias Drton , Han Xiao
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