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We propose elliptical graphical models based on conditional uncorrelatedness as a general- ization of Gaussian graphical models by letting the population distribution be elliptical instead of normal, allowing the fitting of data with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-16 Daniel Vogel , Roland Fried

We present the elliptical processes -- a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsumes the Gaussian process and the Student-t process. This generalization includes a range of new fat-tailed behaviors yet retains computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-03 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas Schön

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

Gaussian graphical models are parametric statistical models for jointly normal random variables whose dependence structure is determined by a graph. In previous work, we introduced trek separation, which gives a necessary and sufficient…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Jan Draisma , Seth Sullivant , Kelli Talaska

Graphical models provide a framework for exploration of multivariate dependence patterns. The connection between graph and statistical model is made by identifying the vertices of the graph with the observed variables and translating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Mathias Drton , Michael D. Perlman

Undirected graphical models are used extensively in the biological and social sciences to encode a pattern of conditional independences between variables, where the absence of an edge between two nodes $a$ and $b$ indicates that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Rina Foygel Barber , Mladen Kolar

Knowing when a graphical model is perfect to a distribution is essential in order to relate separation in the graph to conditional independence in the distribution, and this is particularly important when performing inference from data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Arash A. Amini , Bryon Aragam , Qing Zhou

We propose a Bayesian approximate inference method for learning the dependence structure of a Gaussian graphical model. Using pseudo-likelihood, we derive an analytical expression to approximate the marginal likelihood for an arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-13 Janne Leppä-aho , Johan Pensar , Teemu Roos , Jukka Corander

Gaussian graphical models represent the backbone of the statistical toolbox for analyzing continuous multivariate systems. However, due to the intrinsic properties of the multivariate normal distribution, use of this model family may hide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

Gaussian scale mixtures are constructed as Gaussian processes with a random variance. They have non-Gaussian marginals and can exhibit asymptotic dependence unlike Gaussian processes, which are asymptotically independent except in the case…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-31 Raphael Huser , Thomas Opitz , Emeric Thibaud

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

Correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas arise when the correlation parameter is driven itself by a latent random process. For such copulas, both penultimate and asymptotic tail dependence are much larger than for ordinary elliptical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-21 Hans Manner , Johan Segers

We develop an asymptotic theory for extremes in decomposable graphical models by presenting results applicable to a range of extremal dependence types. Specifically, we investigate the weak limit of the distribution of suitably normalised…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Adrian Casey , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

Many practical data analysis tasks reduce to learning, from observed samples, how a collection of variables depend on each other. A widely used approach is to fit a Gaussian graphical model, which represents the dependence structure as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Ignacio Echave-Sustaeta Rodríguez , Aida Abiad , Frank Röttger

It is well known that the dependence structure for jointly Gaussian variables can be fully captured using correlations, and that the conditional dependence structure in the same way can be described using partial correlations. The partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Håkon Otneim , Dag Tjøstheim

Functional graphical models have undergone extensive development during the recent years, leading to a variety models such as the functional Gaussian graphical model, the functional copula Gaussian graphical model, the functional Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Kyongwon Kim , Bing Li

We consider the problem of estimating an undirected Gaussian graphical model when the underlying distribution is multivariate totally positive of order 2 (MTP2), a strong form of positive dependence. Such distributions are relevant for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-23 Yuhao Wang , Uma Roy , Caroline Uhler

Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

Using one of the key property of copulas that they remain invariant under an arbitrary monotonous change of variable, we investigate the null hypothesis that the dependence between financial assets can be modeled by the Gaussian copula. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

We describe various sets of conditional independence relationships, sufficient for qualitatively comparing non-vanishing squared partial correlations of a Gaussian random vector. These sufficient conditions are satisfied by several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Sanjay Chaudhuri
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