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Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

Continuum mechanics simulators, numerically solving one or more partial differential equations, are essential tools in many areas of science and engineering, but their performance often limits application in practice. Recent modern machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Mario Lino , Chris Cantwell , Anil A. Bharath , Stathi Fotiadis

Models are often given in terms of differential equations to represent physical systems. In the presence of uncertainty, accurate prediction of the behavior of these systems using the models requires understanding the effect of uncertainty…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-12 Subhayan De

Graph neural networks, recently introduced into the field of fluid flow surrogate modeling, have been successfully applied to model the temporal evolution of various fluid flow systems. Existing applications, however, are mostly restricted…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-14 Rui Gao , Zhi Cheng , Rajeev K. Jaiman

We investigate uncertainty estimation and multimodality via the non-deterministic predictions of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) in fluid simulations. To this end, we deploy BNNs in three challenging experimental test-cases of increasing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-04 Maximilian Mueller , Robin Greif , Frank Jenko , Nils Thuerey

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

We consider the use of probabilistic neural networks for fluid flow {surrogate modeling} and data recovery. This framework is constructed by assuming that the target variables are sampled from a Gaussian distribution conditioned on the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-14 Romit Maulik , Kai Fukami , Nesar Ramachandra , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

A novel hybrid deep neural network architecture is designed to capture the spatial-temporal features of unsteady flows around moving boundaries directly from high-dimensional unsteady flow fields data. The hybrid deep neural network is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-02 Renkun Han , Zhong Zhang , Yixing Wang , Ziyang Liu , Yang Zhang , Gang Chen

Simulating 2D flow in fractured crystalline rock requires 2D stochastic discrete-fracture matrix (DFM) models. To obtain the simulation statistics of interest at an affordable computational cost, we aim to use the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Martin Špetlík , Jan Březina , Eric Laloy

Shallow water equations are the foundation of most models for flooding and river hydraulics analysis. These physics-based models are usually expensive and slow to run, thus not suitable for real-time prediction or parameter inversion. An…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-22 Yalan Song , Chaopeng Shen , Xiaofeng Liu

The applicability of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) based design tools depend on the accuracy and complexity of the physical models, for example turbulence models, which remains an unsolved problem in physics, and rotor models that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-09 Shanti Bhushan , Greg W Burgreen , Joshua L Bowman , Ian D Dettwiller , Wesley Brewer

Large-scale numerical simulations are used across many scientific disciplines to facilitate experimental development and provide insights into underlying physical processes, but they come with a significant computational cost. Deep neural…

The inputs of deep neural network (DNN) from real-world data usually come with uncertainties. Yet, it is challenging to propagate the uncertainty in the input features to the DNN predictions at a low computational cost. This work employs a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-14 Weiqi Ji , Zhuyin Ren , Chung K. Law

High-performance scientific simulations, important for comprehension of complex systems, encounter computational challenges especially when exploring extensive parameter spaces. There has been an increasing interest in developing deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Pradeep Bajracharya , Javier Quetzalcóatl Toledo-Marín , Geoffrey Fox , Shantenu Jha , Linwei Wang

Accurate proton dose calculation using Monte Carlo (MC) is computationally demanding in workflows like robust optimisation, adaptive replanning, and probabilistic inference, which require repeated evaluations. To address this, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-24 Aaron Pim , Tristan Pryer

Predicting the spatiotemporal variation in streamflow along with uncertainty quantification enables decision-making for sustainable management of scarce water resources. Process-based hydrological models (aka physics-based models) are based…

Physically plausible fluid simulations play an important role in modern computer graphics and engineering. However, in order to achieve real-time performance, computational speed needs to be traded-off with physical accuracy. Surrogate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-19 Nils Wandel , Michael Weinmann , Reinhard Klein

Neural networks are increasingly used in complex (data-driven) simulations as surrogates or for accelerating the computation of classical surrogates. In many applications physical constraints, such as mass or energy conservation, must be…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-25 Jim Magiera , Deep Ray , Jan S. Hesthaven , Christian Rohde

Uncertainty quantification in a neural network is one of the most discussed topics for safety-critical applications. Though Neural Networks (NNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance for many applications, they still provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Mehedi Hasan , Abbas Khosravi , Ibrahim Hossain , Ashikur Rahman , Saeid Nahavandi

Classical problems in computational physics such as data-driven forecasting and signal reconstruction from sparse sensors have recently seen an explosion in deep neural network (DNN) based algorithmic approaches. However, most DNN models do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Romit Maulik , Romain Egele , Krishnan Raghavan , Prasanna Balaprakash