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Time series forecasting attempts to predict future events by analyzing past trends and patterns. Although well researched, certain critical aspects pertaining to the use of deep learning in time series forecasting remain ambiguous. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Kiran Madhusudhanan , Shayan Jawed , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Coherently forecasting the behaviour of a target variable across both coarse and fine temporal scales is crucial for profit-optimized decision-making in several business applications, and remains an open research problem in temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Alessandro Salatiello , Stefan Birr , Manuel Kunz

A multi-period planning framework is proposed that exploits multi-step ahead traffic predictions to address service overprovisioning and improve adaptability to traffic changes, while ensuring the necessary quality-of-service (QoS) levels.…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Hafsa Maryam , Tania Panayiotou , Georgios Ellinas

How to handle time features shall be the core question of any time series forecasting model. Ironically, it is often ignored or misunderstood by deep-learning based models, even those baselines which are state-of-the-art. This behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

Despite the high performance of neural network-based time series forecasting methods, the inherent challenge in explaining their predictions has limited their applicability in certain application areas. Due to the difficulty in identifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Ozan Ozyegen , Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik

In this work we introduce a new framework for performing temporal predictions in the presence of uncertainty. It is based on a simple idea of disentangling components of the future state which are predictable from those which are inherently…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mikael Henaff , Junbo Zhao , Yann LeCun

Can meta-learning discover generic ways of processing time series (TS) from a diverse dataset so as to greatly improve generalization on new TS coming from different datasets? This work provides positive evidence to this using a broad…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio

Complex prediction models such as deep learning are the output from fitting machine learning, neural networks, or AI models to a set of training data. These are now standard tools in science. A key challenge with the current generation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Meng Liu , Tamal K. Dey , David F. Gleich

Deep learning is rapidly becoming a go-to tool for many artificial intelligence problems due to its ability to outperform other approaches and even humans at many problems. Despite its popularity we are still unable to accurately predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Daniel Justus , John Brennan , Stephen Bonner , Andrew Stephen McGough

Most forecasting methods use recent past observations (lags) to model the future values of univariate time series. Selecting an adequate number of lags is important for training accurate forecasting models. Several approaches and heuristics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 José Leites , Vitor Cerqueira , Carlos Soares

End-to-end data-driven machine learning methods often have exuberant requirements in terms of quality and quantity of training data which are often impractical to fulfill in real-world applications. This is specifically true in time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Muhammad Ali Chattha , Ludger van Elst , Muhammad Imran Malik , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Autocorrelation is a defining characteristic of time-series data, where each observation is statistically dependent on its predecessors. In the context of deep time-series forecasting, autocorrelation arises in both the input history and…

Time series forecasting presents unique challenges that limit the effectiveness of traditional machine learning algorithms. To address these limitations, various approaches have incorporated linear constraints into learning algorithms, such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Nathan Doumèche , Francis Bach , Éloi Bedek , Gérard Biau , Claire Boyer , Yannig Goude

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Deep learning have achieved promising results on a wide spectrum of AI applications. Larger datasets and models consistently yield better performance. However, we generally spend longer training time on more computation and communication.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Xiaoxin He , Fuzhao Xue , Xiaozhe Ren , Yang You

Deep learning is playing an increasingly important role in time series analysis. We focused on time series forecasting using attention free mechanism, a more efficient framework, and proposed a new architecture for time series prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Hugo Inzirillo , Ludovic De Villelongue

Machine learning has made important headway in helping to improve the treatment of quantum many-body systems. A domain of particular relevance are correlated inhomogeneous systems. What has been missing so far is a general, scalable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-10 Alex Blania , Sandro Herbig , Fabian Dechent , Evert van Nieuwenburg , Florian Marquardt

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial in many real-world applications. To achieve accurate MTS forecasting, it is essential to simultaneously consider both intra- and inter-series relationships among time series data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Kaize Shi , Liang Hu , Ning An , Zhendong Niu

Time series forecasting is an important yet challenging task. Though deep learning methods have recently been developed to give superior forecasting results, it is crucial to improve the interpretability of time series models. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Qingyi Pan , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Real-world deep learning models developed for Time Series Forecasting are used in several critical applications ranging from medical devices to the security domain. Many previous works have shown how deep learning models are prone to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Yuvaraj Govindarajulu , Avinash Amballa , Pavan Kulkarni , Manojkumar Parmar