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This paper contains two parts: the description of a real electrical system, with many redundancies, reconfigurations and repairs, then the description of a reliability model of this system, based on the BDMP (Boolean logic Driven Markov…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-03-21 Marc Bouissou

This work introduces a novel deep learning-based architecture, termed the Deep Belief Markov Model (DBMM), which provides efficient, model-formulation agnostic inference in Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) problems. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Giacomo Arcieri , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou , Daniel Straub , Eleni Chatzi

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a class of stochastic processes with applications in several fields of applied mathematics spanning from mathematical modeling of physical phenomena to computational methods. A PDMP is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Andrea Bertazzi , Joris Bierkens , Paul Dobson

We introduce a novel normal form representation of Boolean functions in terms of products of binary matrices, hereafter referred to as the Binary Matrix Product (BMP) representation. BMPs are analogous to the Tensor-Trains (TT) and Matrix…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Umut Eren Usturali , Claudio Chamon , Andrei E. Ruckenstein , Eduardo R. Mucciolo

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) can be used to model complex dynamical industrial systems. The counterpart of this modeling capability is their simulation cost, which makes reliability assessment untractable with standard…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-08 Guillaume Chennetier , Hassane Chraibi , Anne Dutfoy , Josselin Garnier

Labeled continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describe processes subject to random timing and partial observability. In applications such as runtime monitoring, we must incorporate past observations. The timing of these observations matters…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Thom Badings , Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

Product Engineering Processes (PEPs) are used for describing complex product developments in big enterprises such as automotive and avionics industries. The Business Process Model Notation (BPMN) is a widely used language to encode…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Hassan Hage , Emmanouil Seferis , Vahid Hashemi , Frank Mantwill

We consider a change-point detection problem for a simple class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A continuous-time PDMP is observed in discrete time and through noise, and the aim is to propose a numerical method to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis

Discrete-time Markov Chains (MCs) and Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are two standard formalisms in system analysis. Their main associated quantitative objectives are hitting probabilities, discounted sum, and mean payoff. Although there…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Ali Asadi , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Amir Kafshdar Goharshady , Kiarash Mohammadi , Andreas Pavlogiannis

In this paper, a condition-based imperfect maintenance model based on piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) is constructed. The degradation of the system includes two types: natural degradation and random shocks. The natural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Weikai Wang , Xian Chen

Time bounded reachability is a fundamental problem in model checking continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) and Markov decision processes (CTMDPs) for specifications in continuous stochastic logics. It can be computed by numerically solving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-07 Mahmoud Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

Inference on modern Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) often relies on a variational inference treatment, imposing violated assumptions of independence and the form of the posterior. Traditional MCMC approaches avoid these assumptions at the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Ethan Goan , Dimitri Perrin , Kerrie Mengersen , Clinton Fookes

Continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) are popular modeling formalism that constitutes the underlying semantics for real-time probabilistic systems such as queuing networks, stochastic process algebras, and calculi for systems biology. Prism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Giovanni Bacci , Anna Ingólfsdóttir , Kim G. Larsen , Raphaël Reynouard

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of multiscale reaction networks. These sensitivity values are important for model analysis, and, the methods that currently exist for sensitivity estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

We consider the key practical challenge of multi-asset maintenance optimization in settings where degradation parameters are heterogeneous and unknown, and must be inferred from degradation data. To address this, we propose scalable methods…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Peter Verleijsdonk , Collin Drent , Stella Kapodistria , Willem van Jaarsveld

Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) are graphical representations of multi-component continuous-time Markov processes as directed graphs. The edges in the network represent direct influences among components. The joint rate matrix of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman
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