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AIMS. The maximum-likelihood method is the standard approach to obtain model fits to observational data and the corresponding confidence regions. We investigate possible sources of bias in the log-likelihood function and its subsequent…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. Hartlap , P. Simon , P. Schneider

Inverse parameter estimation of process-based models is a long-standing problem in many scientific disciplines. A key question for inverse parameter estimation is how to define the metric that quantifies how well model predictions fit to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-09 Florian Hartig , Claudia Dislich , Thorsten Wiegand , Andreas Huth

Metrics of model goodness-of-fit, model comparison, and model parameter estimation are the main categories of statistical problems in science. Bayesian and frequentist methods that address these questions often rely on a likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-26 Carlos A. Argüelles , Austin Schneider , Tianlu Yuan

As is the case for many curved exponential families, the computation of maximum likelihood estimates in a multivariate normal model with a Kronecker covariance structure is typically carried out with an iterative algorithm, specifically, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Mathias Drton , Alexandros Grosdos , Andrew McCormack

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

This paper proposes maximum (quasi)likelihood estimation for high dimensional factor models with regime switching in the loadings. The model parameters are estimated jointly by the EM (expectation maximization) algorithm, which in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-11 Giovanni Urga , Fa Wang

Logistic regression is a fundamental and widely used statistical method for modeling binary outcomes based on covariates. However, the presence of missing data, particularly in settings involving hybrid covariates (a mix of discrete and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Mohamed Cherifi , Xujia Zhu , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Ammar Mesloub

In this manuscript, we consider a finite multivariate nonparametric mixture model where the dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using the copula device. Pseudo EM stochastic algorithms were recently proposed to estimate all…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael Levine , Gildas Mazo

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

The paper addresses the problem of estimation of the model parameters of the logistic exponential distribution based on progressive type-I hybrid censored sample. The maximum likelihood estimates are obtained and computed numerically using…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-13 Subhankar Dutta , Suchandan Kayal

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

We introduce the conditional Maximum Composite Likelihood (MCL) estimation method for the stochastic factor ordered Probit model of credit rating transitions of firms. This model is recommended for internal credit risk assessment procedures…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-14 Antoine Djogbenou , Christian Gouriéroux , Joann Jasiak , Maygol Bandehali

We consider estimation in a particular semiparametric regression model for the mean of a counting process with ``panel count'' data. The basic model assumption is that the conditional mean function of the counting process is of the form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jon A. Wellner , Ying Zhang