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We analyze the daily stock data of the Nasdaq Composite index in the 22-year period 1992-2013 and identify market states as clusters of correlation matrices with similar correlation structures. We investigate the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Previous research explored various conditions of financial markets based on the similarity of correlation structures and classified as market states. We introduce modifications to previous selection criteria for these market states, mainly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-13 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Eduard Seligman , Suchetana Sadhukhan , Parisa Majari , Thomas H. Seligman

We present the clustering analysis of the financial markets of S&P 500 (USA) and Nikkei 225 (JPN) markets over a period of 2006-2019 as an example of a complex system. We investigate the statistical properties of correlation matrices…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-12 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Eduard Seligman , Thomas H. Seligman

Understanding and forecasting changing market conditions in complex economic systems like the financial market is of great importance to various stakeholders such as financial institutions and regulatory agencies. Based on the finding that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-10 Tobias Wand , Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

The concept of states of financial markets based on correlations has gained increasing attention during the last 10 years. We propose to retrace some important steps up to 2018, and then give a more detailed view of recent developments that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-14 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Suchetana Sadhukhan , Parisa Majari , Anirban Chakraborti , Thomas H. Seligman

Financial empirical correlation matrices of all the companies which both, the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) and the Dow Jones comprised during the time period 1990-1999 are studied using a time window of a limited, either 30 or 60, number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

This paper investigates the dynamics of in the S&P500 index from daily returns for the last 30 years. Using a stochastic geometry technique, each S&P500 yearly batch of data is embedded in a subspace that can be accurately described by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 Tanya Araújo , Francisco Louçã

The dynamics of the equal-time cross-correlation matrix of multivariate financial time series is explored by examination of the eigenvalue spectrum over sliding time windows. Empirical results for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-02 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

Complex systems are usually non-stationary and their dynamics is often dominated by collective effects. Collectivity, defined as coherent motion of the whole system or of some of its parts, manifests itself in the time-dependent structures…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-11 Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

Financial market is an example of complex system, which is characterized by a highly intricate organization and the emergence of collective behavior. In this paper, we quantify this emergent dynamics in the financial market by using…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Thomas Kauê Dal'Maso Peron , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

The study of the critical dynamics in complex systems is always interesting yet challenging. Here, we choose financial market as an example of a complex system, and do a comparative analyses of two stock markets - the S&P 500 (USA) and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-14 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Kiran Sharma , Rakesh Chatterjee , Anirban Chakraborti , Francois Leyvraz , Thomas H. Seligman

We investigate the daily correlation present among market indices of stock exchanges located all over the world in the time period Jan 1996 - Jul 2009. We discover that the correlation among market indices presents both a fast and a slow…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-16 Dong-Ming Song , Michele Tumminello , Wei-Xing Zhou , Rosario N. Mantegna

The correlation matrix formalism is used to study temporal aspects of the stock market evolution. This formalism allows to decompose the financial dynamics into noise as well as into some coherent repeatable intraday structures. The present…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

We review some methods recently used in the literature to detect the existence of a certain degree of common behavior of stock returns belonging to the same economic sector. Specifically, we discuss methods based on random matrix theory and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-25 C. Coronnello , M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , S. Micciche` , R. N. Mantegna

We investigate the emergence of a structure in the correlation matrix of assets' returns as the time-horizon over which returns are computed increases from the minutes to the daily scale. We analyze data from different stock markets (New…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-12-08 Christian Borghesi , Matteo Marsili , Salvatore Miccichè

Since the beginning of the new millennium, stock markets went through every state from long-time troughs, trade suspensions to all-time highs. The literature on asset pricing hence assumes random processes to be underlying the movement of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Tanya Araújo , Maximilian Göbel

Detailed study of the financial empirical correlation matrix of the 30 companies comprised by DAX within the period of the last 11 years, using the time-window of 30 trading days, is presented. This allows to clearly identify a nontrivial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Drozdz , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

A pairwise clustering approach is applied to the analysis of the Dow Jones index companies, in order to identify similar temporal behavior of the traded stock prices. To this end, the chaotic map clustering algorithm is used, where a map is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-01-31 N. Basalto , R. Bellotti , F. De Carlo , P. Facchi , S. Pascazio

We compare some methods recently used in the literature to detect the existence of a certain degree of common behavior of stock returns belonging to the same economic sector. Specifically, we discuss methods based on random matrix theory…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 C. Coronnello , M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , S. Miccichè , R. N. Mantegna

We analyze a fixed panel of S\&P 500 stocks from 1996 to 2026 using complementary static and kinetic Ising models applied to daily binary open-to-close movements. The static pairwise model provides a long-run maximum-entropy summary of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Sebin Oh , Marta C. Gonzáleza , Ziqi Wang
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