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A novel coronavirus originated from Wuhan, China in late December 2019 has now affected almost all countries worldwide. Pakistan reported its first case in late February. The country went to lockdown after three weeks since the first case,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-20 Fizza Farooq , Javeria Khan , Muhammad Usman Ghani Khan

The 2019-Novel-Coronavirus (COVID-19) has affected 116 countries (By March 12) and out of more than 118,000 confirmed cases. Understanding the transmission dynamics of the infection in each country which affected on a daily basis and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-25 Amirhoshang Hoseinpour Dehkordi , Majid Alizadeh , Pegah Derakhshan , Peyman Babazadeh , Arash Jahandideh

The widely spread CoronaVirus Disease (COVID)-19 is one of the worst infectious disease outbreaks in history and has become an emergency of primary international concern. As the pandemic evolves, academic communities have been actively…

In the absence of neither an effective treatment or vaccine and with an incomplete understanding of the epidemiological cycle, Govt. has implemented a nationwide lockdown to reduce COVID-19 transmission in India. To study the effect of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Tridip Sardar , Sk Shahid Nadim , Sourav Rana , Joydev Chattopadhyay

I critique a recent analysis (Miles, Stedman & Heald, 2020) of COVID-19 lockdown costs and benefits, focussing on the United Kingdom (UK). Miles et al. (2020) argue that the March-June UK lockdown was more costly than the benefit of lives…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-01 Adrian Kent

Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for a disease spread in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Jakub Svoboda , Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

In this work we analyse the growth of the cumulative number of confirmed infected cases by the COVID-19 until March 27th, 2020, from countries of Asia, Europe, North and South America. Our results show (i) that power-law growth is observed…

State government-mandated social distancing measures have helped to slow down the growth of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. Current predictive models of the development of COVID-19, especially after mitigation efforts, are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Ka-Ming Tam , Nicholas Walker , Juana Moreno

We develop a multiple-events model and exploit within and between country variation in the timing, type and level of intensity of various public policies to study their dynamic effects on the daily incidence of COVID-19 and on population…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-03 Nikos Askitas , Konstantinos Tatsiramos , Bertrand Verheyden

Sweden has adopted far less restrictive social distancing policies than most countries following the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper uses data on all mobile phone users, from one major Swedish mobile phone network, to examine the impact of…

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

In response to the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), governments have introduced severe policy measures with substantial effects on human behavior. Here, we perform a large-scale, spatio-temporal analysis of human mobility during the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-08 Joel Persson , Jurriaan F. Parie , Stefan Feuerriegel

When the COVID-19 disease pandemic infiltrated the world, there was an immediate need for accurate information. As with any outbreak, the outbreak follows a clear trajectory, and subsequently, the supporting information for that outbreak…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Nompumelelo Mtsweni , Herkulaas MvE Combrink , Vukosi Marivate

More and more countries show a significant slowdown in the number of new COVID-19 infections due to effective governmentally instituted lockdown and social distancing measures. We have analyzed the growth behavior of the top 25 most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-09 H. M. Singer

Novel coronavirus-19 (2019-nCoV or COVID-19) is by far the most dangerous coronavirus ever identified for the third time in the three decades capable of infecting not only the animals but also the humans across the globe. Nearly 6000 deaths…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Muhammad Lawan Jibril , Usman Sani Sharif

When the novel coronavirus disease SARS-CoV2 (COVID-19) was officially declared a pandemic by the WHO in March 2020, the scientific community had already braced up in the effort of making sense of the fast-growing wealth of data gathered by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Timoteo Carletti , Duccio Fanelli , Francesco Piazza

As a highly infectious respiratory disease, COVID-19 has become a pandemic that threatens global health. Without an effective treatment, non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as travel restrictions, have been widely promoted to mitigate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Qianqian Sun , Yixuan Pan , Weiyi Zhou , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

Aims: Nonpharmaceutical interventions against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Germany included the cancellation of mass events (from March 8), closures of schools and child day care facilities (from March 16) as well as a "lockdown" (from March…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-27 Thomas Wieland

Comparing how different populations have suffered under COVID-19 is a core part of ongoing investigations into how public policy and social inequalities influence the number of and severity of COVID-19 cases. But COVID-19 incidence can vary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

In a scenario where there is no vaccine for COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical interventions are necessary to contain the spread of the virus and the collapse of the health system in the affected regions. One of these measures is social…