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To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Zikai Li

Spatial confounding is a fundamental issue in spatial regression models which arises because spatial random effects, included to approximate unmeasured spatial variation, are typically not independent of covariates in the model. This can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Emiko Dupont , Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib

When mapping subnational health and demographic indicators, direct weighted estimators of small area means based on household survey data can be unreliable when data are limited. If survey microdata are available, unit level models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Arya Farahi , Jonah Rose , Paul Torrey

Spatial misalignment arises when datasets are aggregated or collected at different spatial scales, leading to information loss. We develop a Bayesian disaggregation framework that links misaligned data to a continuous-domain model through…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Man Ho Suen , Mark Naylor , Finn Lindgren

An important problem in the field of bioinformatics is to identify interactive effects among profiled variables for outcome prediction. In this paper, a logistic regression model with pairwise interactions among a set of binary covariates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Easton Li Xu , Xiaoning Qian , Tie Liu , Shuguang Cui

Individual-level human mobility prediction has emerged as a significant topic of research with applications in infectious disease monitoring, child, and elderly care. Existing studies predominantly focus on the microscopic aspects of human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Yueyang Liu , Lance Kennedy , Ruochen Kong , Joon-Seok Kim , Andreas Züfle

Producing reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators at fine areal scales is crucial for examining heterogeneity and supporting localized health policy. However, many surveys release outcomes only at coarser administrative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Yunhan Wu , Finn Lindgren , Heidi A. Hanson

Inference on the extremal behaviour of spatial aggregates of precipitation is important for quantifying river flood risk. There are two classes of previous approach, with one failing to ensure self-consistency in inference across different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Non-gaussian spatial data are very common in many disciplines. For instance, count data are common in disease mapping, and binary data are common in ecology. When fitting spatial regressions for such data, one needs to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 John Hughes , Murali Haran

Prediction is a classic challenge in spatial statistics and the inclusion of spatial covariates can greatly improve predictive performance when incorporated into a model with latent spatial effects. It is desirable to develop flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Jon Wakefield

Causal inference across multiple data sources offers a promising avenue to enhance the generalizability and replicability of scientific findings. However, data integration methods for time-to-event outcomes, common in biomedical research,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

We develop a new method for multivariate scalar on multidimensional distribution regression. Traditional approaches typically analyze isolated univariate scalar outcomes or consider unidimensional distributional representations as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Rahul Ghosal , Marcos Matabuena

This study proposes a method for aggregating/synthesizing global and local sub-models for fast and flexible spatial regression modeling. Eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) was used to model spatially varying coefficients and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Daisuke Murakami , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hajime Seya , Daniel A. Griffith

Binary segmentation, which is sequential in nature is thus far the most widely used method for identifying multiple change points in statistical models. Here we propose a top down methodology called arbitrary segmentation that proceeds in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

Spatial epidemiology identifies the drivers of elevated population-level disease risks, using disease counts, exposures and known confounders at the areal unit level. Poisson regression models are typically used for inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Duncan Lee , Vinny Davies

In frequency domain analysis for spatial data, spectral averages based on the periodogram often play an important role in understanding spatial covariance structure, but also have complicated sampling distributions due to complex variances…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Souvick Bera , Daniel J. Nordman , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Advances in cellular imaging technologies, especially those based on fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) now allow detailed visualization of the spatial organization of human or bacterial cells. Quantifying this spatial organization…

Small area models are mixed effects regression models that link the small areas and borrow strength from similar domains. When the auxiliary variables used in the models are measured with error, small area estimators that ignore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Serena Arima , Silvia Polettini
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