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We provide identification results for a broad class of learning models in which continuous outcomes depend on three types of unobservables: known heterogeneity, initially unknown heterogeneity that may be revealed over time, and transitory…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-25 Jackson Bunting , Paul Diegert , Arnaud Maurel

Estimating population quantities such as mean outcomes from user feedback is fundamental to platform evaluation and social science, yet feedback is often missing not at random (MNAR): users with stronger opinions are more likely to respond,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Hongyu Chen , David Simchi-Levi , Ruoxuan Xiong

Empirical researchers increasingly use upstream machine-learning (ML) methods to construct proxies for latent target variables from complex, unstructured data. A naive plug-in use of such proxies in downstream econometric models, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Lixiong Li

Ranking, and inferences based on ranking of a set of entities, are important problems in numerous contexts. This is especially true in small area statistics where there may be only a limited amount of directly observed data from each entity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Gauri Sankar Datta , Yiren Hou , Abhyuday Mandal

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In some multivariate problems with missing data, pairs of variables exist that are never observed together. For example, some modern biological tools can produce data of this form. As a result of this structure, the covariance matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Max Grazier G'Sell , Shai S. Shen-Orr , Robert Tibshirani

Mutual information has been successfully adopted in filter feature-selection methods to assess both the relevancy of a subset of features in predicting the target variable and the redundancy with respect to other variables. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Mario Beraha , Alberto Maria Metelli , Matteo Papini , Andrea Tirinzoni , Marcello Restelli

In spite of recent contributions to the literature, informative cluster size settings are not well known and understood. In this paper, we give a formal definition of the problem and describe it from different viewpoints. Data generating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Jaakko Nevalainen , Somnath Datta , Hannu Oja

We consider basic conceptual questions concerning the relationship between statistical estimation and causal inference. Firstly, we show how to translate causal inference problems into an abstract statistical formalism without requiring any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Oliver J. Maclaren , Ruanui Nicholson

Conducting valid statistical analyses is challenging in the presence of missing-not-at-random (MNAR) data, where the missingness mechanism is dependent on the missing values themselves even conditioned on the observed data. Here, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Anna Guo , Jiwei Zhao , Razieh Nabi

Parameter estimates in misspecified models converge to pseudo-true parameter values, which minimize a population objective function. Pseudo-true values often differ from quantities of economic interest, raising questions of how, if at all,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-20 Isaiah Andrews , Harvey Barnhard , Jacob Carlson

Mathematical models are routinely applied to interpret biological data, with common goals that include both prediction and parameter estimation. A challenge in mathematical biology, in particular, is that models are often complex and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Alexander P Browning , Jennifer A Flegg , Ryan J Murphy

We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Daniel Yekutieli

The successful application of modern machine learning for time series classification is often hampered by limitations in quality and quantity of available training data. To overcome these limitations, available domain expert knowledge in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Janis Norden , Elisa Oostwal , Michael Chappell , Peter Tino , Kerstin Bunte

Interval identification of parameters such as average treatment effects, average partial effects and welfare is particularly common when using observational data and experimental data with imperfect compliance due to the endogeneity of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Sukjin Han , Adam McCloskey

We study identifiability of the parameters in autoregressions defined on a network. Most identification conditions that are available for these models either rely on the network being observed repeatedly, are only sufficient, or require…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-06 Federico Martellosio

The task of inferring high-level causal variables from low-level observations, commonly referred to as causal representation learning, is fundamentally underconstrained. As such, recent works to address this problem focus on various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-26 Simon Bing , Urmi Ninad , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

The increasing availability of experimental data has intensified interest in calibrating stochastic models, raising fundamental questions about parameter identifiability. Structural identifiability determines whether parameters can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

We introduce a framework for uncertainty estimation that both describes and extends many existing methods. We consider typical hyperparameters involved in classical training as random variables and marginalise them out to capture various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Francesco Farina , Lawrence Phillips , Nicola J Richmond

There are two basic ways of weakening the definition of the well-known metric regularity property by fixing one of the points involved in the definition. The first resulting property is called metric subregularity and has attracted a lot of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-22 R. Cibulka , M. Fabian , A. Y. Kruger