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We introduce a new, reliable, and agnostic uncertainty measure for classification tasks called logit uncertainty. It is based on logit outputs of neural networks. We in particular show that this new uncertainty measure yields a superior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Huiyu Wu , Diego Klabjan

Statistical models are inherently uncertain. Quantifying or at least upper-bounding their uncertainties is vital for safety-critical systems such as autonomous vehicles. While standard neural networks do not report this information, several…

We present a stochastic constrained output-feedback data-driven predictive control scheme for linear time-invariant systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The approach uses data-driven predictors based on an extension of Willems'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper presents an approach to trajectory-centric learning control based on contraction metrics and disturbance estimation for nonlinear systems subject to matched uncertainties. The approach uses deep neural networks to learn uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-25 Pan Zhao , Ziyao Guo , Yikun Cheng , Aditya Gahlawat , Hyungsoo Kang , Naira Hovakimyan

We study how to identify a class of continuous-time nonlinear systems defined by an ordinary differential equation affine in the unknown parameter. We define a notion of asymptotic consistency as $(n, h) \to (\infty, 0)$, and we achieve it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-09 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Motivated by the goal of having a building block in the direct design of data-driven controllers for nonlinear systems, we show how, for an unknown discrete-time bilinear system, the data collected in an offline open-loop experiment enable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Andrea Bisoffi , Claudio De Persis , Pietro Tesi

This paper presents a probabilistic model validation methodology for nonlinear systems in time-domain. The proposed formulation is simple, intuitive, and accounts both deterministic and stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-02-04 Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

Incremental stability is a property of dynamical systems that ensures the convergence of trajectories with respect to each other rather than a fixed equilibrium point or a fixed trajectory. In this paper, we introduce a related stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 P Sangeerth , David Smith Sundarsingh , Bhabani Shankar Dey , Pushpak Jagtap

Nonlinear dynamic models are widely used for characterizing functional forms of processes that govern complex biological pathway systems. Over the past decade, validation and further development of these models became possible due to data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Itai Dattner , Shota Gugushvili , Harold Ship , Eberhard O. Voit

In this paper, we directly design a state feedback controller that stabilizes a class of uncertain nonlinear systems solely based on input-state data collected from a finite-length experiment. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Alessandro Luppi , Claudio De Persis , Pietro Tesi

In this paper, we present a novel framework to synthesize robust strategies for discrete-time nonlinear systems with random disturbances that are unknown, against temporal logic specifications. The proposed framework is data-driven and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-29 Ibon Gracia , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo , Alessandro Abate , Morteza Lahijanian

Credal sets, i.e., closed convex sets of probability measures, provide a natural framework to represent aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning. Yet how to quantify these two types of uncertainty for a given credal set,…

Accurately modeling and verifying the correct operation of systems interacting in dynamic environments is challenging. By leveraging parametric uncertainty within the model description, one can relax the requirement to describe exactly the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Patrick Holmes , Shreyas Kousik , Shankar Mohan , Ram Vasudevan

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

We propose a neural network based approach for extracting models from dynamic data using ordinary and partial differential equations. In particular, given a time-series or spatio-temporal dataset, we seek to identify an accurate governing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Yifan Sun , Linan Zhang , Hayden Schaeffer

We present a method for the steady state optimization of nonlinear delay differential equations. The method ensures stability and robustness, where a system is called robust if it remains stable despite uncertain parameters. Essentially, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Jonas Otten , Martin Mönnigmann

Non-parametric representations of dynamical systems based on the image of a Hankel matrix of data are extensively used for data-driven control. However, if samples of data are missing, obtaining such representations becomes a difficult…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-09 Mohammad Alsalti , Ivan Markovsky , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller