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Data augmentation methods in combination with deep neural networks have been used extensively in computer vision on classification tasks, achieving great success; however, their use in time series classification is still at an early stage.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-29 Elizabeth Fons , Paula Dawson , Xiao-jun Zeng , John Keane , Alexandros Iosifidis

Creating accurate predictions in the stock market has always been a significant challenge in finance. With the rise of machine learning as the next level in the forecasting area, this research paper compares four machine learning models and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Albert Wong , Steven Whang , Emilio Sagre , Niha Sachin , Gustavo Dutra , Yew-Wei Lim , Gaetan Hains , Youry Khmelevsky , Frank Zhang

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

Predicting stock prices presents challenges in financial forecasting. While traditional approaches such as ARIMA and RNNs are prevalent, recent developments in Large Language Models (LLMs) offer alternative methodologies. This paper…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Pei-Jun Liao , Hung-Shin Lee , Yao-Fei Cheng , Li-Wei Chen , Hung-yi Lee , Hsin-Min Wang

The application of Machine learning to finance has become a familiar approach, even more so in stock market forecasting. The stock market is highly volatile, and huge amounts of data are generated every minute globally. The extraction of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Sai Akash Bathini , Dagli Cihan

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Marcelo Sardelich , Suresh Manandhar

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Considering event structure information has proven helpful in text-based stock movement prediction. However, existing works mainly adopt the coarse-grained events, which loses the specific semantic information of diverse event types. In…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Deli Chen , Yanyan Zou , Keiko Harimoto , Ruihan Bao , Xuancheng Ren , Xu Sun

Designing robust and accurate prediction models has been a viable research area since a long time. While proponents of a well-functioning market predictors believe that it is difficult to accurately predict market prices but many scholars…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-16 Vishal Kuber , Divakar Yadav , Arun Kr Yadav

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

This paper investigates the application of machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), and Logistic Regression (LR), for predicting stock trends based on fundamental…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 John Phan , Hung-Fu Chang

With the dynamic political and economic environments, the ever-changing stock markets generate large amounts of data daily. Acquiring up-to-date data is crucial to enhancing predictive precision in stock price behavior studies. However,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Arunima Mandal , Yuanhang Shao , Xiuwen Liu

Machine learning has been used in all kinds of fields. In this article, we introduce how machine learning can be applied into time series problem. Especially, we use the airline ticket prediction problem as our specific problem. Airline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Jun Lu

Application of machine learning for stock prediction is attracting a lot of attention in recent years. A large amount of research has been conducted in this area and multiple existing results have shown that machine learning methods could…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-14 Yuxuan Huang , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Danny Ho

With the heightened volatility in stock prices during the Covid-19 pandemic, the need for price forecasting has become more critical. We investigated the forecast performance of four models including Long-Short Term Memory, XGBoost,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Navid Mottaghi , Sara Farhangdoost