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Common statistical practice has shown that the full power of Bayesian methods is not realized until hierarchical priors are used, as these allow for greater "robustness" and the ability to "share statistical strength." Yet it is an ongoing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-20 Jonathan H. Huggins , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

We present an approach to model-based hierarchical clustering by formulating an objective function based on a Bayesian analysis. This model organizes the data into a cluster hierarchy while specifying a complex feature-set partitioning that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Shivakumar Vaithyanathan , Byron E Dom

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Current analysis of astronomical data are confronted with the daunting task of modeling the awkward features of astronomical data, among which heteroscedastic (point-dependent) errors, intrinsic scatter, non-ignorable data collection…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-19 S. Andreon

Raking is widely used in categorical data modeling and survey practice but faced with methodological and computational challenges. We develop a Bayesian paradigm for raking by incorporating the marginal constraints as a prior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Peigen Zhou

With the rising complexity of numerous novel applications that serve our modern society comes the strong need to design efficient computing platforms. Designing efficient hardware is, however, a complex multi-objective problem that deals…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Alireza Ghaffari , Masoud Asgharian , Yvon Savaria

Bayesian hierarchical models are proposed for modeling tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage potential in the Atlantic basin. We model the joint probability distribution of tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-13 Lindsey Dietz , Sakshi Arya , Vishal Subedi , Auroop R. Ganguly , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

We develop a Bayesian approach called Bayesian projected calibration to address the problem of calibrating an imperfect computer model using observational data from a complex physical system. The calibration parameter and the physical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-08 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

Long-horizon vessel trajectory forecasting under real ocean conditions is critical for collision avoidance, traffic management, and route planning. However, achieving accurate predictions is challenging due to long-range temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ganeshaaraj Gnanavel , Tharindu Fernando , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero

Predicting keywords performance, such as number of impressions, click-through rate (CTR), conversion rate (CVR), revenue per click (RPC), and cost per click (CPC), is critical for sponsored search in the online advertising industry. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Yuan Yuan , Xiaojing Dong , Chen Dong , Yiwen Sun , Zhenyu Yan , Abhishek Pani

For civil structures, structural damage due to severe loading events such as earthquakes, or due to long-term environmental degradation, usually occurs in localized areas of a structure. A new sparse Bayesian probabilistic framework for…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-02 Yong Huang , James L. Beck

Accurate positioning and fast traversal times determine the productivity in machining applications. This paper demonstrates a hierarchical contour control implementation for the increase of productivity in positioning systems. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-30 Alisa Rupenyan , Mohammad Khosravi , John Lygeros

In this work, experiment design for marine vessels is explored. A dictionary-based approach is used, i.e., a systematic way of choosing the most informative combination of independent experiments out of a predefined set of candidates. This…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-12 Fredrik Ljungberg , Jonas Linder , Martin Enqvist , Kalevi Tervo

This paper proposes a new Bayesian machine learning model that can be applied to large datasets arising in macroeconomics. Our framework sums over many simple two-component location mixtures. The transition between components is determined…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-05 Florian Huber

Reliably predicting nuclear properties across the entire chart of isotopes is important for applications ranging from nuclear astrophysics to superheavy science to nuclear technology. To this day, however, all the theoretical models that…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-10-29 Aman Sharma , Nicolas Schunck , Kyle Wendt

The analysis of longitudinal categorical data can be complex and unfeasible due to the number of parameters involved, characterised by overparameterisation leading to model non-convergence, in addition to problems related to sample size and…

A data-driven methodology is proposed to model the distribution of multivariate stochastic trajectories from an observed sample. As a first step, each trajectory in the sample is reduced to a vector of features by means of Functional…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-15 Romain Hascoët

Decarbonization of the transport sector sets increasingly strict demands to maximize thermal efficiency and minimize greenhouse gas emissions of Internal Combustion Engines. This has led to complex engines with a surge in the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-27 Maarten Vlaswinkel , Duarte Antunes , Frank Willems