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Acquisition of data is a difficult task in many applications of machine learning, and it is only natural that one hopes and expects the population risk to decrease (better performance) monotonically with increasing data points. It turns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zakaria Mhammedi

We consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. Under general moment conditions on the noise distribution a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Vlad Barbu , Slim Beltaif , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We study a Sparre Andersen model in which the business activity of the company is described by a compound renewal process with drift assuming that the capital reserves are invested in a risky asset. The price of the latter is assumed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ernst Eberlain , Yuri Kabanov , Thorsten Schmidt

We establish noncommutative analogs of some well-known large deviation inequalities for noncommutative random variables. Firstly, for the noncommutative independent case, we characterize the uniformly exponential integrability of random…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Yong Jiao , Sijie Luo , Dejian Zhou

The Cram\'er-Lundberg model with exponential claims and proportional investment is solved exactly: the integro-differential equation for the survival probability reduces to a doubly confluent Heun equation, yielding an explicit solution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Platon Promyslov , Maxim Romanov , Goluba Yurieva

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

In many applications (e.g., medical studies), the population of interest (e.g., disease status) comprises heterogeneous subpopulations. The mixture of probabilistic regression models is one of the most common techniques to incorporate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Elsayed Ghanem , Armin Hatefi , Hamid Usefi

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

We introduce a class of Markov chains, that contains the model of stochastic approximation by averaging and non-averaging. Using martingale approximation method, we establish various deviation inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Pierre Alquier , Paul Doukhan

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

Assessing the degradation state of an industrial asset first requires evaluating its current condition and then to project the forecast model trajectory to a predefined prognostic threshold, thereby estimating its remaining useful life…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Edgar Jaber , Emmanuel Remy , Vincent Chabridon , Mathilde Mougeot , Didier Lucor

The classical Cramer-Lundberg model was the first attempt to describe the financial condition of the insurance company. The incomes were approximated by a steady stream of money, insurance payments were not limited and could take any value…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-09 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , A. Lechańska , J. K. Misiewicz

This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not uncommon in lines of business such as third-party liability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Martin Bladt

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

Recent studies have demonstrated an interesting connection between the asymptotic behavior at ruin of a L\'evy insurance risk process under the Cram\'er-Lundberg and convolution equivalent conditions. For example, the limiting distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Philip S. Griffin

In this paper we address the numerical solution of nonlinear ill-posed systems by iterative regularization methods in the classes of Levenberg-Marquardt, trust-region and adaptive quadratic regularization procedures. Both with exact and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-17 Stefania Bellavia , Benedetta Morini

Let $\textbf{Z}(t)=(Z_1(t) ,\ldots, Z_d(t))^\top , t \in \mathbb{R}$ where $Z_i(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$, $i=1,...,d$ are mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with continuous sample paths a.s. and stationary increments. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Krzysztof Bisewski , Krzysztof Debicki , Nikolai Kriukov

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-17 Song Mei , Yu Bai , Andrea Montanari

Log-linear models are typically fitted to contingency table data to describe and identify the relationship between different categorical variables. However, the data may include observed zero cell entries. The presence of zero cell entries…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Serveh Sharifi Far , Michail Papathomas , Ruth King
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