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This article presents a new continuous-time modelling framework for multivariate time series of counts which have an infinitely divisible marginal distribution. The model is based on a mixed moving average process driven by L\'{e}vy noise -…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Almut E. D. Veraart

Point processes in time have a wide range of applications that include the claims arrival process in insurance or the analysis of queues in operations research. Due to advances in technology, such samples of point processes are increasingly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-14 Álvaro Gajardo , Hans-Georg Müller

A new discrete-time shot noise Cox process for spatiotemporal data is proposed. The random intensity is driven by a dependent sequence of latent gamma random measures. Some properties of the latent process are derived, such as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-17 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

In this paper we present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process. Dynamic Gaussian processes are introduced to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

We consider a Cox process with Poisson shot noise intensity which has been widely applied in insurance, finance, queue theory, statistic, and many other fields. Cox process is flexible because its intensity depends on not only the time but…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

We propose a novel approach to estimate the Cox model with temporal covariates. Our new approach treats the temporal covariates as arising from a longitudinal process which is modeled jointly with the event time. Different from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-05 Xiaoqi Zhang , Xiaobing Zhao , Yanqiao Zheng

We generalize the log Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) framework to model multiple correlated point data jointly. The observations are treated as realizations of multiple LGCPs, whose log intensities are given by linear combinations of latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-18 Virginia Aglietti , Theodoros Damoulas , Edwin Bonilla

This paper presents a Bayesian generative model for dependent Cox point processes, alongside an efficient inference scheme which scales as if the point processes were modelled independently. We can handle missing data naturally, infer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-28 Tom Gunter , Chris Lloyd , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Counting processes often written $N=(N_t)_{t\in\mathbb{R}^+}$ are used in several applications of biostatistics, notably for the study of chronic diseases. In the case of respiratory illness it is natural to suppose that the count of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Gaspar Massiot

Properties of arrival times are studied for a Cox process with independent (and stationary) increments. Under a reasonable setting the directing random measure is shown to take over independent (and stationary) increments of the process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Muneya Matsui

We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

The Markov-modulated Poisson process is utilised for count modelling in a variety of areas such as queueing, reliability, network and insurance claims analysis. In this paper, we extend the Markov-modulated Poisson process framework through…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-06 Benjamin Avanzi , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong , Alan Xian

Two Cox-based multistate modeling approaches are compared for analyzing a complex multicohort event history process. The first approach incorporates cohort information as a fixed covariate, thereby providing a direct estimation of the…

In this paper, the panel count data analysis for recurrent events is considered. Such analysis is useful for studying tumor or infection recurrences in both clinical trial and observational studies. A bivariate Gaussian Cox process model is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-19 Ye Liang , Yang Li , Bin Zhang

We propose a multivariate framework for modeling dependent default times that extends the classical Cox process by incorporating both common and idiosyncratic shocks. Our construction uses c\`adl\`ag, increasing processes to model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Djibril Gueye , Alejandra Quintos

A Gaussian Cox process is a popular model for point process data, in which the intensity function is a transformation of a Gaussian process. Posterior inference of this intensity function involves an intractable integral (i.e., the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Bingjing Tang , Julia Palacios

We consider the situation of estimating Cox regression in which some covariates are subject to missing, and there exists additional information (including observed event time, censoring indicator and fully observed covariates) which may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-16 Chiu-Hsieh Hsu , Mandi Yu

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

This paper introduces multivariate Poisson autoregressive models with exogenous covariates (PoARX) for modelling multivariate time series of counts. We obtain conditions for the PoARX process to be stationary and ergodic before proposing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-14 Jamie Halliday , Georgi N. Boshnakov
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