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In 2022, fuel combustion in road transport accounted for approximately 21% (760 million tonnes) of CO2 emissions in the European Union (EU). Road transport is the only sector with rising emissions, with an increase of 24% compared to 1990.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-08 Elisabeth Zeyen , Sina Kalweit , Marta Victoria , Tom Brown

Europe's contribution to global warming will be determined by the cumulative emissions until climate neutrality is achieved. In this paper, we investigate alternative transition paths under carbon budgets corresponding to temperature…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-01 Marta Victoria , Elisabeth Zeyen , Tom Brown

Road transport is responsible for about a quarter of Europe's greenhouse gas emissions, making its transformation a crucial part of Europe's overall decarbonization goals. Current European policies promote decarbonizing the transport sector…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-29 Sina Kalweit , Elisabeth Zeyen , Marta Victoria

Low-carbon electricity is a key enabler in combating climate change. Decarbonising the power sector is now at the centre of global and European policies. As the IPCC highlights, pathways where the power sector rapidly decarbonises by 2030…

Climate change mitigation is a global challenge that, however, needs to be resolved by national-level authorities, resembling a tragedy of the commons. This paradox is reflected at European scale, as climate commitments are made by the EU…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-11 Tim T. Pedersen , Mikael Skou Andersen , Marta Victoria , Gorm B. Andresen

The balancing provided by hydropower reservoirs is essential in the transition towards a decarbonised European energy system, but the resource might be impacted by future climate change. In this work, we first analyse the hydropower…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-07 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Marta Victoria

In the process of decarbonization, the global energy mix is shifting from fossil fuels to renewables. To study decarbonization pathways, large-scale energy system models are utilized. These models require accurate data on renewable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-22 Alexander Kies , Bruno U. Schyska , Mariia Bilousova , Omar El Sayed , Jakub Jurasz , Horst Stöcker

In this paper, we aim to analyse the impact of hydrogen production decarbonisation and electrification scenarios on the infrastructure development, generation mix, $CO_{2}$ emissions, and system costs of the European power system,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Germán Morales-España , Ricardo Hernández-Serna , Diego A. Tejada-Arango , Marcel Weeda

Hydrogen and carbon capture and storage are pivotal to decarbonize the European energy system in a broad range of pathway scenarios. Yet, their timely uptake in different sectors and distribution across countries are affected by supply…

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

The decarbonisation of the energy system is crucial for achieving climate goals and is inherently linked to the decarbonisation of industry. Despite this, few studies explore the simultaneous impacts of decarbonising both sectors. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-31 Quentin Raillard-Cazanove , Thibaut Knibiehly , Robin Girard

We use an open, hourly-resolved, networked model of the European energy system to investigate the storage requirements under decreasing CO$_2$ emissions targets and several sector-coupling scenarios. For the power system, significant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-22 Marta Victoria , Kun Zhu , Tom Brown , Gorm B. Andresen , Martin Greiner

Standard EU energy system modelling approaches optimize for least-cost, leading to highly centralized systems, in conflict with political feasibility and physical security concerns. This paper incorporates decentralisation as a constraint…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-29 Kristoffer Hedegaard Aden , Alexander Kies

In the present study, for the first time, an effort sharing approach based on Inertia and Capability principles is proposed to assess European Union (EU27) carbon budget distribution among the Member States. This is done within the context…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-16 Ilaria Perissi , Aled Jones

Ambitious targets for renewable energy and CO2 taxation both represent political instruments for decarbonisation of the energy system. We model a high number of coupled electricity and heating systems, where the primary sources of CO2…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-18 K. Zhu , M. Victoria , T. Brown , G. B. Andresen , M. Greiner

In 2021, the European Commission has adopted the Fit-for-55 policy package, legally binding European countries to reduce their CO2 emissions by 55% with respect to 1990, a first step to achieve carbon neutrality in 2050. In this context, it…

Achieving decarbonization across energy sectors requires demand-side transformation such as behavioural changes and end-use efficiency improvements to complement supply-side technological shifts. However, changing consumption patterns is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-07 Parisa Rahdan , Mirko Schäfer , Ana Belén Cristóbal López , Marta Victoria

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

The European Union (EU) aims to reach carbon neutrality by 2050. This requires capturing CO2, eventually transporting it to different regions, and either converting it into valuable products or sequestering it underground. Although the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-23 Ricardo Fernandes , Martin Greiner , Marta Victoria

We use three ensemble members of the EURO-CORDEX project and their data on surface wind speeds, solar irradiation as well as water runoff with a spatial resolution of 12 km and a temporal resolution of 3 hours under representative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-09 Markus Schlott , Alexander Kies , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner
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