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The preference graph is a combinatorial representation of the structure of a normal-form game. Its nodes are the strategy profiles, with an arc between profiles if they differ in the strategy of a single player, where the orientation…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Oliver Biggar , Iman Shames

In this paper we give a brief review of semiparametric theory, using as a running example the common problem of estimating an average causal effect. Semiparametric models allow at least part of the data-generating process to be unspecified…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Edward H. Kennedy

This paper studies preference aggregation under risk. In our model, each agent has an incomplete preference relation represented by a set of expected utility functions. The classical Pareto principle is silent on agreement involving…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-06 Leo Kurata , Kensei Nakamura

In this paper we elaborate on the recently proposed superstatistics formalism [C. Beck and E.G.D. Cohen, Physica A 322, 267 (2003)], used to interpret unconventional statistics. Their interpretation is that unconventional statistics in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Sattin

Bayesian probability theory is used to analyze the oft-made assumption that humans are typical observers in the universe. Some theoretical calculations make the {\it selection fallacy} that we are randomly chosen from a class of objects by…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 James B. Hartle , Mark Srednicki

The paper is a naive introduction to descriptive set theory. It is aimed mathematicians without a background in logic. The goal is to provide the basic facts used for applications of descriptive set theory to other areas of mathematics,…

Logic · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Matthew Foreman

Motivated by a recent series of diametrically opposed articles on the relative value of statistical methods for the analysis of path diagrams in the social sciences, we discuss from a primarily theoretical perspective selected fundamental…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-13 R. Dennis Cook , Liliana Forzani

We introduce a new notion of "regularity structure" that provides an algebraic framework allowing to describe functions and / or distributions via a kind of "jet" or local Taylor expansion around each point. The main novel idea is to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Martin Hairer

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Democratic societies are built around the principle of free and fair elections, that each citizen's vote should count equal. National elections can be regarded as large-scale social experiments, where people are grouped into usually large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-28 Peter Klimek , Yuri Yegorov , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

Although Zermelo-Fraenkel set theory (ZFC) is generally accepted as the appropriate foundation for modern mathematics, proof theorists have known for decades that virtually all mainstream mathematics can actually be formalized in much…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Nik Weaver

Set theory is widely believed to provide a secure foundation for deductive mathematics, but current set theories do not quite do this. The mainstream essentially uses na\"\i ve set theory. After Russell's paradox showed this to be…

Logic · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Frank Quinn

We present a computational model of mathematical reasoning according to which mathematics is a fundamentally stochastic process. That is, on our model, whether or not a given formula is deemed a theorem in some axiomatic system is not a…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-12-16 David H. Wolpert , David Kinney

There are different meanings of foundation of mathematics: philosophical, logical, and mathematical. Here foundations are considered as a theory that provides means (concepts, structures, methods etc.) for the development of whole…

Logic · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Burgin

Norms have been extensively proposed as coordination mechanisms for both agent and human societies. Nevertheless, choosing the norms to regulate a society is by no means straightforward. The reasons are twofold. First, the norms to choose…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Maite Lopez-Sanchez , Marc Serramia , Juan A. Rodriguez-Aguilar , Javier Morales , Michael Wooldridge

Declarative approaches to process modeling are regarded as well suited for highly volatile environments as they provide a high degree of flexibility. However, problems in understanding and maintaining declarative business process models…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-11-12 Cornelia Haisjackl , Stefan Zugal , Pnina Soffer , Irit Hadar , Manfred Reichert , Jakob Pinggera , Barbara Weber

Determinantal point processes (DPPs), which arise in random matrix theory and quantum physics, are natural models for subset selection problems where diversity is preferred. Among many remarkable properties, DPPs offer tractable algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Alex Kulesza , Ben Taskar

In large scale collective decision making, social choice is a normative study of how one ought to design a protocol for reaching consensus. However, in instances where the underlying decision space is too large or complex for ordinal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Brandon Fain , Ashish Goel , Kamesh Munagala , Sukolsak Sakshuwong

Behavioral research can provide important insights for SE practices. But in performing it, many studies of SE are committing a normative fallacy - they misappropriate normative and prescriptive theories for descriptive purposes. The…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Christoph Becker