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In this paper, we investigate a continuous time version of the Stochastic Langevin Monte Carlo method, introduced in [WT11], that incorporates a stochastic sampling step inside the traditional over-damped Langevin diffusion. This method is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-10 Marelys Crespo Navas , Sébastien Gadat , Xavier Gendre

Non-invasive surface wave methods have become a popular alternative to traditional invasive forms of site-characterization for inferring a site's subsurface shear wave velocity (Vs) structure. The advantage of surface wave methods over…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-06 Joseph P. Vantassel , Brady R. Cox

This study presents key enhancements in hydrodynamic modeling using the strip-based Morison's equation approach to enable rapid simulations of Floating Offshore Wind Turbines (FOWT). The modeling framework employs the relative form of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-05 Doyal Sarker , Md Sakif , Tri Ngo , Tuhin Das

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

We develop a method for probabilistic prediction of extreme value hot-spots in a spatio-temporal framework, tailored to big datasets containing important gaps. In this setting, direct calculation of summaries from data, such as the minimum…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz

Uncertainty quantification for full-waveform inversion provides a probabilistic characterization of the ill-conditioning of the problem, comprising the sensitivity of the solution with respect to the starting model and data noise. This…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-04-20 Gabrio Rizzuti , Ali Siahkoohi , Philipp A. Witte , Felix J. Herrmann

This work is motivated by the analysis of the extremal behavior of buoy and satellite data describing wave conditions in the North Atlantic Ocean. The available data sets consist of time series of significant wave height (Hs) with irregular…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-11 Nicolas Raillard , Pierre Ailliot , Jianfeng Yao

As an example for complex systems with extreme events we investigate ocean wave states exhibiting rogue waves. We present a statistical method of data analysis based on multi-point statistics which for the first time allows grasping extreme…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-02-17 Ali Hadjihosseini , Matthias Wächter , Norbert P. Hoffmann , Joachim Peinke

We review recent progress in modeling the probability distribution of wave heights in the deep ocean as a function of a small number of parameters describing the local sea state. Both linear and nonlinear mechanisms of rogue wave formation…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-07-11 L. H. Ying , Z. Zhuang , E. J. Heller , L. Kaplan

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

We demonstrate a scaling method for non-Markovian Monte Carlo wave-function simulations used to study open quantum systems weakly coupled to their environments. We derive a scaling equation, from which the result for the expectation values…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Piilo , S. Maniscalco , A. Messina , F. Petruccione

Using a semi-parametric approach based on the fourth-order Edgeworth expansion for the unknown signal distribution, we derive an explicit expression for the likelihood detection statistic in the presence of non-normally distributed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Lionel Martellini , Tania Regimbau

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

The rotating shallow water model is a simplification of oceanic and atmospheric general circulation models that are used in many applications such as surge prediction, tsunami tracking and ocean modelling. In this paper we introduce a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Oana Lang , Dan Crisan , Etienne Mémin

This work introduces and compares approaches for estimating rare-event probabilities related to the number of edges in the random geometric graph on a Poisson point process. In the one-dimensional setting, we derive closed-form expressions…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Christian Hirsch , Sarat B. Moka , Thomas Taimre , Dirk P. Kroese

High-dimensional probability density estimation for inference suffers from the "curse of dimensionality". For many physical inference problems, the full posterior distribution is unwieldy and seldom used in practice. Instead, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-13 Niall Jeffrey , Benjamin D. Wandelt

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

Extreme value analysis (EVA) uses data to estimate long-term extreme environmental conditions for variables such as significant wave height and period, for the design of marine structures. Together with models for the short-term evolution…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Matthew Speers , David Randell , Jonathan Angus Tawn , Philip Jonathan

We propose an extension of the discretization approaches for multilayer shallow water models, aimed at making them more flexible and efficient for realistic applications to coastal flows. A novel discretization approach is proposed, in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Luca Bonaventura , Enrique D. Fernández-Nieto , José Garres-Díaz , Gladys Narbona-Reina

Shallow flow models are used for a large number of applications including weather forecasting, open channel hydraulics and simulation-based natural hazard assessment. In these applications the shallowness of the process motivates…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-09 Julia Kowalski , Manuel Torrilhon