English
Related papers

Related papers: ARMA Models for Zero Inflated Count Time Series

200 papers

This paper introduces the modeling of circular data with excess zeros under a longitudinal framework, where the response is a circular variable and the covariates can be both linear and circular in nature. In the literature, various…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Prajamitra Bhuyan , Soutik Halder , Jayant Jha

This paper proposes the beta binomial autoregressive moving average model (BBARMA) for modeling quantized amplitude data and bounded count data. The BBARMA model estimates the conditional mean of a beta binomial distributed variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

Item non-response in surveys is usually handled by single imputation, whose main objective is to reduce the non-response bias. Imputation methods need to be adapted to the study variable. For instance, in business surveys, the interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-17 Brigitte Gelein , Guillaume Chauvet

We propose an algorithm to impute and forecast a time series by transforming the observed time series into a matrix, utilizing matrix estimation to recover missing values and de-noise observed entries, and performing linear regression to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Anish Agarwal , Muhammad Jehangir Amjad , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

This article introduces a k-Inflated Negative Binomial mixture distribution/regression model as a more flexible alternative to zero-inflated Poisson distribution/regression model. An EM algorithm has been employed to estimate the model's…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Saeed MohammadPour

We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $\beta$-mixing time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingxiang Yang , Adams Wei Yu , Zhaoran Wang , Tuo Zhao

Background: Outcome measures that are count variables with excessive zeros are common in health behaviors research. There is a lack of empirical data about the relative performance of prevailing statistical models when outcomes are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-17 Zhengyang Zhou , Dateng Li , David Huh , Minge Xie , Eun-Young Mun

Wearable devices collect time-varying biobehavioral data, offering opportunities to investigate how behaviors influence health outcomes. However, these data often contain measurement error and excess zeros (due to nonwear, sedentary…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Caihong Qin , Lan Xue , Ufuk Beyaztas , Roger S. Zoh , Mark Benden , Jeff Goldsmith , Carmen D. Tekwe

In this paper, we consider the estimation of generalized linear models with covariates that are missing completely at random. We propose a model averaging estimation method and prove that the corresponding model averaging estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-26 Qingfeng Liu , Miaomiao Zheng

In this paper, an alternative mixed Poisson distribution is proposed by amalgamating Poisson distribution and a modification of the Quasi Lindley distribution. Some fundamental structural properties of the new distribution, namely the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Ramajeyam Tharshan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

Zero-inflated regression models have had wide application recently and have provenuseful in modeling data with many zeros. Zero-inflated Binomial (ZIB) regression model is an extension of the ordinary binomial distribution that takes into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , Demba Bocar Ba , Fatimata Lo

Many of the data, particularly in medicine and disease mapping are count. Indeed, the under or overdispersion problem in count data distrusts the performance of the classical Poisson model. For taking into account this problem, in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-19 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Thomas Kneib , Afshin Fallah

An expectation-based scan statistic is proposed for the prospective monitoring of spatio-temporal count data with an excess of zeros. The method, which is based on an outbreak model for the zero-inflated Poisson distribution, is shown to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Benjamin Allévius , Michael Höhle

In reinsurance, Poisson and Negative binomial distributions are employed for modeling frequency. However, the incomplete data regarding reported incurred claims above a priority level presents challenges in estimation. This paper focuses on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Nicolas Baradel

For modeling the serial dependence in time series of counts, various approaches have been proposed in the literature. In particular, models based on a recursive, autoregressive-type structure such as the well-known integer-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch

Standard count models such as the Poisson and Negative Binomial models often fail to capture the large proportion of zero claims commonly observed in insurance data. To address such issue of excessive zeros, zero-inflated and hurdle models…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Hyemin Lee , Dohee Kim , Banghee So , Jae Youn Ahn

Count-valued time series data are routinely collected in many application areas. We are particularly motivated to study the count time series of daily new cases, arising from COVID-19 spread. We propose two Bayesian models, a time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Arkaprava Roy , Sayar Karmakar

A time-varying zero-inflated serially dependent Poisson process is proposed. The model assumes that the intensity of the Poisson Process evolves according to a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) formulation. The…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-19 Isuru Ratnayake , V. A. Samaranayake

The paper introduces a new regression model designed for situations where both the response and covariates are non-stationary extremes. This method is specifically designed for situations where both the response variable and covariates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) are commonly employed for time series analysis due to their versatile structure, simple recursive updating, ability to handle missing data, and probabilistic forecasting. However, the options for count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Brian King , Daniel R. Kowal