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Mathematical models of biological systems are beginning to be used for safety-critical applications, where large numbers of repeated model evaluations are required to perform uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. Most of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-28 Sanmitra Ghosh , David J. Gavaghan , Gary R. Mirams

Generalized Gaussian processes (GGPs) are highly flexible models that combine latent GPs with potentially non-Gaussian likelihoods from the exponential family. GGPs can be used in a variety of settings, including GP classification,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Daniel Zilber , Matthias Katzfuss

We cast motion planning under uncertainty as a stochastic optimal control problem, where the optimal posterior distribution has an explicit form. To approximate this posterior, this work frames an optimization problem in the space of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Zinuo Chang , Hongzhe Yu , Patricio Vela , Yongxin Chen

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) compose GP layers to warp inputs, enabling improved emulation of computer models with nonstationary input-output behavior compared with ordinary GPs. In contrast to GPs, the predictive uncertainty for DGP…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yiming Yang , Deyu Ming , Serge Guillas

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

Inexpensive machine learning potentials are increasingly being used to speed up structural optimization and molecular dynamics simulations of materials by iteratively predicting and applying interatomic forces. In these settings, it is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-09-12 Jonas Busk , Mikkel N. Schmidt , Ole Winther , Tejs Vegge , Peter Bjørn Jørgensen

We explore the abilities of two machine learning approaches for no-arbitrage interpolation of European vanilla option prices, which jointly yield the corresponding local volatility surface: a finite dimensional Gaussian process (GP)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-21 Marc Chataigner , Areski Cousin , Stéphane Crépey , Matthew Dixon , Djibril Gueye

Physically motivated Gaussian process (GP) kernels for stellar variability, like the commonly used damped, driven simple harmonic oscillators that model stellar granulation and p-mode oscillations, quantify the instantaneous covariance…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-14 Jacob K. Luhn , Ryan A. Rubenzahl , Samuel Halverson , Lily L. Zhao

Gaussian stochastic process (GaSP) has been widely used as a prior over functions due to its flexibility and tractability in modeling. However, the computational cost in evaluating the likelihood is $O(n^3)$, where $n$ is the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Mengyang Gu , Yanxun Xu

In this article we construct a theoretical and computational process for assessing Input Probability Sensitivity Analysis (IPSA) using a Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) enabled technique called Vectorized Uncertainty Propagation (VUP). VUP…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-30 Kevin Vanslette , Arwa Alanqari , Zeyad Al-awwad , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

Vecchia approximation has been widely used to accurately scale Gaussian-process (GP) inference to large datasets, by expressing the joint density as a product of conditional densities with small conditioning sets. We study fixed-domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Myeongjong Kang , Florian Schäfer , Joseph Guinness , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful models for human-in-the-loop experiments due to their flexibility and well-calibrated uncertainty. However, GPs modeling human responses typically ignore auxiliary information, including a priori domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Kaiwen Wu , Craig Sanders , Benjamin Letham , Phillip Guan

We present Active Learning for Accelerated Bayesian Inference (\texttt{alabi}): an open-source Python package for performing Bayesian inference with computationally expensive models. Given a forward model and observational data to construct…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-20 Jessica Birky , Rory K. Barnes

Machine learning (ML) has become widely used in the development of interatomic potentials for molecular dynamics simulations. However, most ML potentials are still much slower than classical interatomic potentials and are usually trained…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-29 Aslak Fellman , Jesper Byggmästar , Fredric Granberg , Kai Nordlund , Flyura Djurabekova

Gaussian Process (GP) models are widely used for Robotic Information Gathering (RIG) in exploring unknown environments due to their ability to model complex phenomena with non-parametric flexibility and accurately quantify prediction…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Weizhe Chen , Lantao Liu , Roni Khardon

Uncertainty quantification in neural networks through methods such as Dropout, Bayesian neural networks and Laplace approximations is either prone to underfitting or computationally demanding, rendering these approaches impractical for…

We propose a multiresolution Gaussian process to capture long-range, non-Markovian dependencies while allowing for abrupt changes. The multiresolution GP hierarchically couples a collection of smooth GPs, each defined over an element of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-06 Emily B. Fox , David B. Dunson

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

When an agent, person, vehicle or robot is moving through an unknown environment without GNSS signals, online mapping of nonlinear terrains can be used to improve position estimates when the agent returns to a previously mapped area.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Frida Marie Viset , Rudy Helmons , Manon Kok