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Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Weichang Yu , Howard D. Bondell

\noindent Hyper-parameter selection is a central practical problem in modern machine learning, governing regularization strength, model capacity, and robustness choices. Cross-validation is often computationally prohibitive at scale, while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Hedibert Lopes , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular global optimization scheme for sample-efficient optimization in domains with expensive function evaluations. The existing BO techniques are capable of finding a single global optimum solution.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Yongsheng Mei , Tian Lan , Mahdi Imani , Suresh Subramaniam

Dynamic pricing is the practice of adjusting the selling price of a product to maximize a firm's revenue by responding to market demand. The literature typically distinguishes between two settings: infinite inventory, where the firm has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Anush Anand , Pranav Agrawal , Tejas Bodas

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample efficient approach to automatically tune the hyperparameters of machine learning models. In practice, one frequently has to solve similar hyperparameter tuning problems sequentially. For example, one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Samuel Horváth , Aaron Klein , Peter Richtárik , Cédric Archambeau

Bayesian optimization has recently emerged as a popular and efficient tool for global optimization and hyperparameter tuning. Currently, the established Bayesian optimization practice requires a user-defined bounding box which is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-18 Bobak Shahriari , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Nando de Freitas

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. De Campos

Global optimization of black-box functions from noisy samples is a fundamental challenge in machine learning and scientific computing. Traditional methods such as Bayesian Optimization often converge to local minima on multi-modal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Qusay Muzaffar , David Levin , Michael Werman

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an attractive machine learning framework for performing sample-efficient global optimization of black-box functions. The optimization process is guided by an acquisition function that selects points to acquire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Felix Teufel , Carsten Stahlhut , Jesper Ferkinghoff-Borg

As the amount of economic and other data generated worldwide increases vastly, a challenge for future generations of econometricians will be to master efficient algorithms for inference in empirical models with large information sets. This…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-27 Dimitris Korobilis , Davide Pettenuzzo

Bayesian optimisation is a sample-efficient search methodology that holds great promise for accelerating drug and materials discovery programs. A frequently-overlooked modelling consideration in Bayesian optimisation strategies however, is…

We consider the problem of approximate Bayesian parameter inference in non-linear state-space models with intractable likelihoods. Sequential Monte Carlo with approximate Bayesian computations (SMC-ABC) is one approach to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-14 Johan Dahlin , Mattias Villani , Thomas B. Schön

In the machine learning algorithms, the choice of the hyperparameter is often an art more than a science, requiring labor-intensive search with expert experience. Therefore, automation on hyperparameter optimization to exclude human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Taehyeon Kim , Jaeyeon Ahn , Nakyil Kim , Seyoung Yun

Bayesian optimization is a class of global optimization techniques. In Bayesian optimization, the underlying objective function is modeled as a realization of a Gaussian process. Although the Gaussian process assumption implies a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Rui Tuo , Wenjia Wang

We consider the problem of finding an input to a stochastic black box function such that the scalar output of the black box function is as close as possible to a target value in the sense of the expected squared error. While the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Johannes G. Hoffer , Sascha Ranftl , Bernhard C. Geiger

In this paper, we bridge the gap between hyperparameter optimization and ensemble learning by performing Bayesian optimization of an ensemble with regards to its hyperparameters. Our method consists in building a fixed-size ensemble,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Julien-Charles Lévesque , Christian Gagné , Robert Sabourin

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used iterative algorithm for optimizing black-box functions. Each iteration requires maximizing an acquisition function, such as the upper confidence bound (UCB) or a sample path from the Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Hwanwoo Kim , Chong Liu , Yuxin Chen

Bayesian Optimization, leveraging Gaussian process models, has proven to be a powerful tool for minimizing expensive-to-evaluate objective functions by efficiently exploring the search space. Extensions such as constrained Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yezhuo Li , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Gang Li

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach for optimizing black-box, expensive-to-evaluate functions. To enable a flexible trade-off between the cost and accuracy, many applications allow the function to be evaluated at different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Shibo Li , Robert M. Kirby , Shandian Zhe

Performance of machine learning algorithms depends critically on identifying a good set of hyperparameters. While recent approaches use Bayesian optimization to adaptively select configurations, we focus on speeding up random search through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Lisha Li , Kevin Jamieson , Giulia DeSalvo , Afshin Rostamizadeh , Ameet Talwalkar
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