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Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

For two decades, reproducing kernels and their associated discrepancies have facilitated elegant theoretical analyses in the setting of quasi Monte Carlo. These same tools are now receiving interest in statistics and related fields, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Chris. J. Oates

We investigate the nonparametric estimation for regression in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. Sufficient conditions for kernel estimators to converge uniformly are obtained. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mohamed El Machkouri

Inverse design problems are common in engineering and materials science. The forward direction, i.e., computing output quantities from design parameters, typically requires running a numerical simulation, such as a FEM, as an intermediate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Jens U. Kreber , Christian Weißenfels , Joerg Stueckler

In computational design and fabrication, neural networks are becoming important surrogates for bulky forward simulations. A long-standing, intertwined question is that of inverse design: how to compute a design that satisfies a desired…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Navid Ansari , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative models, inspiring extensive research into their underlying mechanisms. One of the key questions in this area is the loss functions these models shall train with. Multiple formulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Dibyanshu Kumar , Philipp Vaeth , Magda Gregorová

Metasurfaces are ultra-thin optical elements composed of engineered sub-wavelength structures that enable precise control of light. Their inverse design - determining a geometry that yields a desired optical response - is challenging due to…

Optics · Physics 2025-06-30 Liav Hen , Erez Yosef , Dan Raviv , Raja Giryes , Jacob Scheuer

In a large class of statistical inverse problems it is necessary to suppose that the transformation that is inverted is known. Although, in many applications, it is unrealistic to make this assumption, the problem is often insoluble without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Alexander Meister

One-shot decision making is required in situations in which we can evaluate a fixed number of solution candidates but do not have any possibility for further, adaptive sampling. Such settings are frequently encountered in neural network…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-12-23 Jakob Bossek , Pascal Kerschke , Aneta Neumann , Frank Neumann , Carola Doerr

The construction of low-discrepancy sets, used for uniform sampling and numerical integration, has recently seen great improvements based on optimization and machine learning techniques. However, these methods are computationally expensive,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-14 François Clément , Linhang Huang , Woorim Lee , Cole Smidt , Braeden Sodt , Xuan Zhang

Regression evaluation has been performed for decades. Some metrics have been identified to be robust against shifting and scaling of the data but considering the different distributions of data is much more difficult to address (imbalance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Mario Michael Krell , Bilal Wehbe

Curse of Dimensionality is an unavoidable challenge in statistical probability models, yet diffusion models seem to overcome this limitation, achieving impressive results in high-dimensional data generation. Diffusion models assume that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Zhenxin Zheng , Zhenjie Zheng

For a regression problem with a binary label response, we examine the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the label probability conditional on the features. In a setting where we do not have any information about the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Rina Foygel Barber

Uncertainty calibration in pre-trained transformers is critical for their reliable deployment in risk-sensitive applications. Yet, most existing pre-trained transformers do not have a principled mechanism for uncertainty propagation through…

Designs which are minimax in the presence of model misspecifications have been constructed so as to minimize the maximum, over classes of alternate response models, of the integrated mean squared error of the predicted values. This mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Douglas P. Wiens

This paper investigates score-based diffusion models when the underlying target distribution is concentrated on or near low-dimensional manifolds within the higher-dimensional space in which they formally reside, a common characteristic of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Gen Li , Yuling Yan

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno

Adjoint-based design optimizations are usually computationally expensive and those costs scale with resolution. To address this, researchers have proposed machine learning approaches for inverse design that can predict higher-resolution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Milad Habibi , Mark Fuge

I investigate the scattering properties of transformation devices as the traditional impedance matching criteria are altered. This is demonstrated using simple theory and augmented by numerical simulations that investigate the role of…

Optics · Physics 2018-05-04 Paul Kinsler

The L_2-discrepancy measures the irregularity of the distribution of a finite point set. In this note we prove lower bounds for the L_2 discrepancy of arbitrary N-point sets. Our main focus is on the two-dimensional case. Asymptotic upper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-02-19 Aicke Hinrichs , Lev Markhasin