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The decision process requires information about the present state of the system, but in economy acquiring data and processing them is an expensive and time consuming process. Therefore the state of the system is measured and announced at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-21 Janusz Miskiewicz

Modern financial networks exhibit a high degree of interconnectedness and determining the causes of instability and contagion in financial networks is necessary to inform policy and avoid future financial collapse. In the American Economic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Brett Hemenway , Sanjeev Khanna

The evolution with time of the correlation structure of equity returns is studied by means of a filtered network approach investigating persistences and recurrences and their implications for risk diversification strategies. We build…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-22 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

Crashes have fascinated and baffled many canny observers of financial markets. In the strict orthodoxy of the efficient market theory, crashes must be due to sudden changes of the fundamental valuation of assets. However, detailed empirical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Jonathan Donier , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

--- the companies populating a Stock market, along with their connections, can be effectively modeled through a directed network, where the nodes represent the companies, and the links indicate the ownership. This paper deals with this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-26 Roy Cerqueti , Giulia Rotundo , Marcel Ausloos

During a financial crisis, the capital markets network frequently exhibits a high correlation between returns. We developed a network analysis framework based on daily returns from 42 countries to determine systemic stability. Our network…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Supanat Kamtue , Pongsak Luangaram , Sirawit Woramongkhon

Correlations between random variables play an important role in applications, e.g.\ in financial analysis. More precisely, accurate estimates of the correlation between financial returns are crucial in portfolio management. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-31 Pedro Galeano , Dominik Wied

A detailed analysis of correlation between stock returns at high frequency is compared with simple models of random walks. We focus in particular on the dependence of correlations on time scales - the so-called Epps effect. This provides a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-20 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Matteo Marsili , Patrick Zoi

The interbank market has a natural multiplex network representation. We employ a unique database of supervisory reports of Italian banks to the Banca d'Italia that includes all bilateral exposures broken down by maturity and by the secured…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-20 Leonardo Bargigli , Giovanni di Iasio , Luigi Infante , Fabrizio Lillo , Federico Pierobon

We present cross and time series analysis of price fluctuations in the U.S. Treasury fixed income market. By means of techniques borrowed from statistical physics we show that the correlation among bonds depends strongly on the maturity and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 M. Bernaschi , L. Grilli , L. Marangio , S. Succi , D. Vergni

A stock market is considered as one of the highly complex systems, which consists of many components whose prices move up and down without having a clear pattern. The complex nature of a stock market challenges us on making a reliable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Minjun Kim , Hiroki Sayama

We exploit a continuous time random walk description of stock prices to obtain a fast and accurate evaluation of their volatility from intraday data. We show that financial markets are usefully described as open physical systems. Indeed we…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rosario Bartiromo

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

Social network research has begun to take advantage of fine-grained communications regarding coordination, decision-making, and knowledge sharing. These studies, however, have not generally analyzed how external events are associated with a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-02 Daniel M. Romero , Brian Uzzi , Jon Kleinberg

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper investigates the dynamics of in the S&P500 index from daily returns for the last 30 years. Using a stochastic geometry technique, each S&P500 yearly batch of data is embedded in a subspace that can be accurately described by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 Tanya Araújo , Francisco Louçã

Markets have internal dynamics leading to excess volatility and other phenomena that are difficult to explain using rational expectations models. This paper studies these using a nonequilibrium price formation rule, developed in the context…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 J. Doyne Farmer

We highlight a very simple statistical tool for the analysis of financial bubbles, which has already been studied in [1]. We provide extensive empirical tests of this statistical tool and investigate analytically its link with stocks…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-17 Frederic Abergel , Nicolas Huth , Ioane Muni Toke

It is reported that financial news, especially financial events expressed in news, provide information to investors' long/short decisions and influence the movements of stock markets. Motivated by this, we leverage financial event streams…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Xianchao Wu

The myriad microscopic interactions among the individual organisms that constitute an ecological system collectively give rise, at the macroscopic scale, to evolutionary trends. The ability to detect the directionality of such trends is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-21 Andrea Marchetti , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen
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