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Enriching Brownian motion with regenerations from a fixed regeneration distribution $\mu$ at a particular regeneration rate $\kappa$ results in a Markov process that has a target distribution $\pi$ as its invariant distribution. For the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Hector McKimm , Andi Q Wang , Murray Pollock , Christian P Robert , Gareth O Roberts

In this paper, we study a new discrete tree and the resulting branching process, which we call the \textbf{E}rlang \textbf{W}eighted \textbf{T}ree(\textbf{EWT}). The EWT appears as the local weak limit of a random graph model proposed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Mehrdad Moharrami , Vijay Subramanian , Mingyan Liu , Rajesh Sundaresan

Consider a setting with $N$ independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, $p_i \in [0, 1]$ drawn from some unknown distribution $P^\star$. After observing the outcomes of $t$ independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., $X_i \sim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant , Sham M. Kakade

D. Wilson~\cite{[Wi]} in the 1990's described a simple and efficient algorithm based on loop-erased random walks to sample uniform spanning trees and more generally weighted trees or forests spanning a given graph. This algorithm provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-29 L. Avena , F. Castell , A. Gaudilliere , C. Melot

Given a large set $U$ where each item $a\in U$ has weight $w(a)$, we want to estimate the total weight $W=\sum_{a\in U} w(a)$ to within factor of $1\pm\varepsilon$ with some constant probability $>1/2$. Since $n=|U|$ is large, we want to do…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Lorenzo Beretta , Jakub Tětek

We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-07 Christopher S. Withers , Saralees Nadarajah

This paper investigates a change-point estimation problem in the context of high-dimensional Markov Random Field models. Change-points represent a key feature in many dynamically evolving network structures. The change-point estimate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Sandipan Roy , Yves Atchade , George Michailidis

Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Tim Coleman , Kimberly Kaufeld , Mary Frances Dorn , Lucas Mentch

This paper introduces the Partition Tree Weighting technique, an efficient meta-algorithm for piecewise stationary sources. The technique works by performing Bayesian model averaging over a large class of possible partitions of the data…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-22 Joel Veness , Martha White , Michael Bowling , András György

Distribution Regression on path-space refers to the task of learning functions mapping the law of a stochastic process to a scalar target. The learning procedure based on the notion of path-signature, i.e. a classical transform from rough…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Blanka Horvath , Maud Lemercier , Chong Liu , Terry Lyons , Cristopher Salvi

We study the problem of reconstructing a perfect matching $M^*$ hidden in a randomly weighted $n\times n$ bipartite graph. The edge set includes every node pair in $M^*$ and each of the $n(n-1)$ node pairs not in $M^*$ independently with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Jian Ding , Yihong Wu , Jiaming Xu , Dana Yang

A weighted random survival forest is presented in the paper. It can be regarded as a modification of the random forest improving its performance. The main idea underlying the proposed model is to replace the standard procedure of averaging…

Starting with a set of weighted items, we want to create a generic sample of a certain size that we can later use to estimate the total weight of arbitrary subsets. For this purpose, we propose priority sampling which tested on Internet…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Nick Duffield , Carsten Lund , Mikkel Thorup

We consider fixed-point equations for probability measures charging measured compact metric spaces that naturally yield continuum random trees. On the one hand, we study the existence/uniqueness of the fixed-points and the convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Nicolas Broutin , Henning Sulzbach

Distributional identities for a L\'evy process $X_t$, its quadratic variation process $V_t$ and its maximal jump processes, are derived, and used to make "small time" (as $t\downarrow0$) asymptotic comparisons between them. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Boris Buchmann , Yuguang Fan , Ross A. Maller

We study optimization problems in which a linear functional is maximized over probability measures that are dominated by a given measure according to an integral stochastic order in an arbitrary dimension. We show that the following four…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-13 Frank Yang , Kai Hao Yang

We prove that it is NP-hard to properly PAC learn decision trees with queries, resolving a longstanding open problem in learning theory (Bshouty 1993; Guijarro-Lavin-Raghavan 1999; Mehta-Raghavan 2002; Feldman 2016). While there has been a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Caleb Koch , Carmen Strassle , Li-Yang Tan

Maximum likelihood estimations for the parameters of extreme value distributions are discussed in this paper using fixed point iteration. The commonly used numerical approach for addressing this problem is the Newton-Raphson approach which…

Computation · Statistics 2009-02-03 Tewfik Kernane , Zohrh A. Raizah

The Rasch model has been widely used to analyse item response data in psychometrics and educational assessments. When the number of individuals and items are large, it may be impractical to provide all possible responses. It is desirable to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Pai Peng , Lianqiang Qu , Qiuping Wang , Shufang Wang , Ting Yan

The aim of this paper is to provide several novel upper bounds on the excess risk with a primal focus on classification problems. We suggest two approaches and the obtained bounds are represented via the distribution dependent local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Nikita Zhivotovskiy