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In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable Markov universe. Our viewpoint departs from the dynamic programming viewpoint: we are directly approximating an optimal strategic tree depending on the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederic Dambreville

Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a widely used iterative algorithm for computing maximum likelihood estimate when dealing with Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). When the sample size is smaller than the data dimension, this could lead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Pierre Houdouin , Matthieu Jonkcheere , Frederic Pascal

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

This paper deals with learning stability of partially observed switched linear systems under arbitrary switching. Such systems are widely used to describe cyber-physical systems which arise by combining physical systems with digital…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-20 Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers , Mihály Petreczky , Bo Chen , Li Yu

This work attempts to approximate a linear Gaussian system with a finite-state hidden Markov model (HMM), which is found useful in solving sophisticated event-based state estimation problems. An indirect modeling approach is developed,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-10 Kaikai Zheng , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Markovian jump linear systems (MJLS) are an important class of dynamical systems that arise in many control applications. In this paper, we introduce the problem of controlling unknown (discrete-time) MJLS as a new benchmark for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Joao Paulo Jansch-Porto , Bin Hu , Geir Dullerud

The paper presents a robust parameter learning methodology for identification of nonlinear dynamical system from data while satisfying safety and stability constraints in the context of learning from demonstration (LfD) methods. Extreme…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-12 Iman Salehi , Ghananeel Rotithor , Ashwin P. Dani

Constructing an accurate system model for formal model verification can be both resource demanding and time-consuming. To alleviate this shortcoming, algorithms have been proposed for automatically learning system models based on observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-18 Hua Mao , Yingke Chen , Manfred Jaeger , Thomas D. Nielsen , Kim G. Larsen , Brian Nielsen

In this work we study the problem of adaptive MPC for linear time-invariant uncertain models. We assume linear models with parametric uncertainties, and propose an iterative multi-variable extremum seeking (MES)-based learning MPC algorithm…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Mouhacine Benosman , Stefano Di Cairano , Avishai Weiss

We study properties and parameter estimation of finite-state homogeneous continuous-time bivariate Markov chains. Only one of the two processes of the bivariate Markov chain is observable. The general form of the bivariate Markov chain…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-14 Brian L. Mark , Yariv Ephraim

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

Bayesian inference for Markov jump processes (MJPs) where available observations relate to either system states or jumps typically relies on data-augmentation Markov Chain Monte Carlo. State-of-the-art developments involve representing MJP…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-18 Iker Perez , Theodore Kypraios

Latent class model (LCM), which is a finite mixture of different categorical distributions, is one of the most widely used models in statistics and machine learning fields. Because of its non-continuous nature and the flexibility in shape,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-23 Hao Chen , Lanshan Han , Alvin Lim

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

Latent Gaussian models have a rich history in statistics and machine learning, with applications ranging from factor analysis to compressed sensing to time series analysis. The classical method for maximizing the likelihood of these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Alexander Lin , Bahareh Tolooshams , Yves Atchadé , Demba Ba

Online variants of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm have recently been proposed to perform parameter inference with large data sets or data streams, in independent latent models and in hidden Markov models. Nevertheless, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-01 Sylvain Le Corff , Gersende Fort

We consider the problem of joint estimation of the parameters of $m$ linear dynamical systems, given access to single realizations of their respective trajectories, each of length $T$. The linear systems are assumed to reside on the nodes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Claire Donnat , Olga Klopp , Hemant Tyagi

The paper investigates the techniques of quantum computation in metrological predictions, with a particular emphasis on enhancing prediction potential through variational parameter estimation. The applicability of quantum simulations and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-31 Vaidik A Sharma , N. Madurai Meenachi , B. Venkatraman

Mixed linear regression (MLR) model is among the most exemplary statistical tools for modeling non-linear distributions using a mixture of linear models. When the additive noise in MLR model is Gaussian, Expectation-Maximization (EM)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-14 Babak Barazandeh , Ali Ghafelebashi , Meisam Razaviyayn , Ram Sriharsha

(Neal and Hinton, 1998) recast maximum likelihood estimation of any given latent variable model as the minimization of a free energy functional $F$, and the EM algorithm as coordinate descent applied to $F$. Here, we explore alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Juan Kuntz , Jen Ning Lim , Adam M. Johansen