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The aim of this paper is to propose diffusion strategies for distributed estimation over adaptive networks, assuming the presence of spatially correlated measurements distributed according to a Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Paolo Di Lorenzo

We present a novel algorithm, an adaptive-lag smoother, approximating efficiently, in an online fashion, sequences of expectations under the marginal smoothing distributions in general state-space models. The algorithm evolves recursively a…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-23 Johan Alenlöv , Jimmy Olsson

Many industrial and engineering processes monitored as times series have smooth trends that indicate normal behavior and occasionally anomalous patterns that can indicate a problem. This kind of behavior can be modeled by a smooth trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Matthew Hofkes , Douglas Nychka , Tzahi Cath , Amanda Hering , Craig McGonagill

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

Smoothing is an estimation method whereby a classical state (probability distribution for classical variables) at a given time is conditioned on all-time (both past and future) observations. Here we define a smoothed quantum state for a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-04-25 Ivonne Guevara , Howard Wiseman

We present approximate algorithms for performing smoothing in a class of high-dimensional state-space models via sequential Monte Carlo methods ("particle filters"). In high dimensions, a prohibitively large number of Monte Carlo samples…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-21 Axel Finke , Sumeetpal S. Singh

In this note we introduce an estimate for the marginal likelihood associated to hidden Markov models (HMMs) using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximations of the generalized two-filter smoothing decomposition (Briers, 2010). This…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-04 Adam Persing , Ajay Jasra

The mixture of Gaussian distributions, a soft version of k-means , is considered a state-of-the-art clustering algorithm. It is widely used in computer vision for selecting classes, e.g., color, texture, and shapes. In this algorithm, each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-30 Mahajabin Rahman , Davi Geiger

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

An algorithm for estimating quasi-stationary distribution of finite state space Markov chains has been proven in a previous paper. Now this paper proves a similar algorithm that works for general state space Markov chains under very general…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

Hybrid Monte-Carlo (HMC) sampling smoother is a fully non-Gaussian four-dimensional data assimilation algorithm that works by directly sampling the posterior distribution formulated in the Bayesian framework. The smoother in its original…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-12-21 Ahmed Attia , Razvan Stefanescu , Adrian Sandu

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

Non-Gaussian state-space models arise in several applications, and within this framework the binary time series setting provides a relevant example. However, unlike for Gaussian state-space models - where filtering, predictive and smoothing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Augusto Fasano , Giovanni Rebaudo , Daniele Durante , Sonia Petrone

When statistical analyses consider multiple data sources, Markov melding provides a method for combining the source-specific Bayesian models. Markov melding joins together submodels that have a common quantity. One challenge is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-17 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

This paper presents an algorithm for Monte Carlo fixed-lag smoothing in state-space models defined by a diffusion process observed through noisy discrete-time measurements. Based on a particles approximation of the filtering and smoothing…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-17 Anne Cuzol , Etienne Mémin

We propose a framework, named Aggregated Wasserstein, for computing a dissimilarity measure or distance between two Hidden Markov Models with state conditional distributions being Gaussian. For such HMMs, the marginal distribution at any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Yukun Chen , Jianbo Ye , Jia Li

We compute the stationary distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain which is constructed by gluing together two finite, irreducible Markov chains by identifying a pair of states of one chain with a pair of states of the other and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-22 Bence Mélykúti , Peter Pfaffelhuber

This paper presents a novel Bayesian strategy for the estimation of smooth signals corrupted by Gaussian noise. The method assumes a smooth evolution of a succession of continuous signals that can have a numerical or an analytical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-12 Abderrahim Halimi , Gerald S. Buller , Steve McLaughlin , Paul Honeine

Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are widely used in signal processing and communications for statistical inference and stochastic optimization. In this work, we introduce an efficient adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-17 David Luengo , Luca Martino
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