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An important task in early phase drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. While a variety of different subgroup identification methods have been developed for the situation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Heidi Seibold

We study the accuracy of Bayesian supervised method used to cluster individuals into genetically homogeneous groups on the basis of dominant or codominant molecular markers. We provide a formula relating an error criterion the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-14 Gilles Guillot , Alexandra Carpentier-Skandalis

Clinical trials are typically run in order to understand the effects of a new treatment on a given population of patients. However, patients in large populations rarely respond the same way to the same treatment. This heterogeneity in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Alihan Hüyük , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Identifying subgroups, which respond differently to a treatment, both in terms of efficacy and safety, is an important part of drug development. A well-known challenge in exploratory subgroup analyses is the small sample size in the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

Participant level meta-analysis across multiple studies increases the sample size for pooled analyses, thereby improving precision in effect estimates and enabling subgroup analyses. For analyses involving biomarker measurements as an…

Hierarchical inference in (generalized) regression problems is powerful for finding significant groups or even single covariates, especially in high-dimensional settings where identifiability of the entire regression parameter vector may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Claude Renaux , Peter Bühlmann

In oncology the efficacy of novel therapeutics often differs across patient subgroups, and these variations are difficult to predict during the initial phases of the drug development process. The relation between the power of randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Boyu Ren , Federico Ferrari , Sandra Fortini , Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

In group sequential designs, where several data looks are conducted for early stopping, we generally assume the vector of test statistics from the sequential analyses follows (at least approximately or asymptotially) a multivariate normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Long-Hao Xu , Tobias Mütze , Frank Konietschke , Tim Friede

A common feature of many recent trials evaluating the effects of immunotherapy on survival is that non-proportional hazards can be anticipated at the design stage. This raises the possibility to use a statistical method tailored towards…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Dominic Magirr , José L. Jiménez

Biomarkers abound in many areas of clinical research, and often investigators are interested in combining them for diagnosis, prognosis, or screening. In many applications, the true positive rate for a biomarker combination at a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Allison Meisner , Marco Carone , Margaret S. Pepe , Kathleen F. Kerr

The identification of predictive biomarkers from a large scale of covariates for subgroup analysis has attracted fundamental attention in medical research. In this article, we propose a generalized penalized regression method with a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Chong Ma , Wenxuan Deng , Shuangge Ma , Ray Liu , Kevin Galinsky

Adjustment of statistical significance levels for repeated analysis in group sequential trials has been understood for some time. Similarly, methods for adjustment accounting for testing multiple hypotheses are common. There is limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Yujie Zhao , Qi Liu , Linda Z. Sun , Keaven M. Anderson

A group sequential clinical trial design can be an attractive option when planning a pivotal trial as this approach has the ability to stop the trial early for success, whilst also being well accepted from a regulatory review perspective.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-03 Fraser I Lewis

For large classes of group testing problems, we derive lower bounds for the probability that all significant items are uniquely identified using specially constructed random designs. These bounds allow us to optimize parameters of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Important objectives in cancer research are the prediction of a patient's risk based on molecular measurements such as gene expression data and the identification of new prognostic biomarkers (e.g. genes). In clinical practice, this is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-17 Katrin Madjar , Manuela Zucknick , Katja Ickstadt , Jörg Rahnenführer

Sequential decision making significantly speeds up research and is more cost-effective compared to fixed-n methods. We present a method for sequential decision making for stratified count data that retains Type-I error guarantee or false…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-23 Rosanne J. Turner , Peter D. Grünwald

Deep neural two-sample tests have recently shown strong power for detecting distributional differences between groups, yet their black-box nature limits interpretability and practical adoption in biomedical analysis. Moreover, most existing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Masoumeh Javanbakhat , Piotr Komorowski , Dilyara Bareeva , Wei-Chang Lai , Wojciech Samek , Christoph Lippert

Adaptive enrichment allows for pre-defined patient subgroups of interest to be investigated throughout the course of a clinical trial. Many trials which measure a long-term time-to-event endpoint often also routinely collect repeated…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Abigail J. Burdon , Richard D. Baird , Thomas Jaki

We describe a new family of coupling designs, extending the basic principle of stratified randomization to experiments with continuous, constrained multivariate, text/image and other irregular treatment spaces. Our approach is to first…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Max Cytrynbaum , Fredrik Sävje