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Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is a probabilistic model of a learner's state of mastery corresponding to a knowledge component. It considers the learner's state of mastery as a "hidden" or latent binary variable and updates this state…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-19 Denis Shchepakin , Sreecharan Sankaranarayanan , Dawn Zimmaro

Federated Bayesian neural networks require fixing a prior on the model parameters together with a likelihood. Eliciting meaningful priors on the weight space of modern overparameterized models is notoriously difficult, and misspecification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Boning Zhang , Matteo Zecchin , Mingzhao Guo , Dongzhu Liu , Osvaldo Simeone

We consider a problem of localizing a path-signal that evolves over time on a graph. A path-signal can be viewed as the trajectory of a moving agent on a graph in several consecutive time points. Combining dynamic programming and graph…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-14 Yaoqing Yang , Siheng Chen , Mohammad Ali Maddah-Ali , Pulkit Grover , Soummya Kar , Jelena Kovačević

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework for learning the dynamic patterns in the collective behaviors of social agents and developing profiles for different behavioral groups, using data collected from multiple information sources.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Lin Li , Ananthram Swami , Anna Scaglione

This work addresses the problem of segmentation in time series data with respect to a statistical parameter of interest in Bayesian models. It is common to assume that the parameters are distinct within each segment. As such, many Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-18 Alireza Ahrabian

The maximum a-posteriori (MAP) perturbation framework has emerged as a useful approach for inference and learning in high dimensional complex models. By maximizing a randomly perturbed potential function, MAP perturbations generate unbiased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-17 Francesco Orabona , Tamir Hazan , Anand D. Sarwate , Tommi Jaakkola

This paper presents a new Bayesian model and algorithm for nonlinear unmixing of hyperspectral images. The model proposed represents the pixel reflectances as linear combinations of the endmembers, corrupted by nonlinear (with respect to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-06 Yoann Altmann , Marcelo Pereyra , Stephen McLaughlin

MAP is the problem of finding a most probable instantiation of a set of nvariables in a Bayesian network, given some evidence. MAP appears to be a significantly harder problem than the related problems of computing the probability of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 James D. Park

Searches for persistent gravitational radiation from nonpulsating neutron stars in young supernova remnants (SNRs) are computationally challenging because of rapid stellar braking. We describe a practical, efficient, semi-coherent search…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-28 L. Sun , A. Melatos , S. Suvorova , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Recent advances in topic models have explored complicated structured distributions to represent topic correlation. For example, the pachinko allocation model (PAM) captures arbitrary, nested, and possibly sparse correlations between topics…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Wei Li , David Blei , Andrew McCallum

The Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) has been used widely as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the classical Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. A sticky extension…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Ding Zhou , Yuanjun Gao , Liam Paninski

Bayesian inference in the presence of an intractable likelihood function is computationally challenging. When following a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to approximate the posterior distribution in this context, one typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-03 Johan Alenlöv , Arnaud Doucet , Fredrik Lindsten

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a widely-used generative model that copes with sequential data, assuming that each observation is conditioned on the state of a hidden Markov chain. In this paper, we derive a novel algorithm to cluster HMMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-26 Emanuele Coviello , Antoni B. Chan , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

Hidden Markov Models, HMM's, are mathematical models of Markov processes with state that is hidden, but from which information can leak. They are typically represented as 3-way joint-probability distributions. We use HMM's as denotations of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Tahiry Rabehaja

We continue studies of the uncertainty quantification problem in emission tomographies such as PET or SPECT when additional multimodal data (e.g., anatomical MRI images) are available. To solve the aforementioned problem we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Fedor Goncharov , Éric Barat , Thomas Dautremer

Many machine learning tasks can be formulated in terms of predicting structured outputs. In frameworks such as the structured support vector machine (SVM-Struct) and the structured perceptron, discriminative functions are learned by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Kui Tang , Nicholas Ruozzi , David Belanger , Tony Jebara

Distance metric learning is an important component for many tasks, such as statistical classification and content-based image retrieval. Existing approaches for learning distance metrics from pairwise constraints typically suffer from two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Liu Yang , Rong Jin , Rahul Sukthankar

Autonomous Vehicles navigating in urban areas have a need to understand and predict future pedestrian behavior for safer navigation. This high level of situational awareness requires observing pedestrian behavior and extrapolating their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-18 Pavan Vasishta , Dominique Vaufreydaz , Anne Spalanzani

The horseshoe prior is known to possess many desirable properties for Bayesian estimation of sparse parameter vectors, yet its density function lacks an analytic form. As such, it is challenging to find a closed-form solution for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Shu Yu Tew , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic
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