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In this work, we propose \texttt{TimeGrad}, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Kashif Rasul , Calvin Seward , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf

Traffic forecasting is important for the success of intelligent transportation systems. Deep learning models, including convolution neural networks and recurrent neural networks, have been extensively applied in traffic forecasting problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

Graph signal processing (GSP) is an important methodology for studying data residing on irregular structures. As acquired data is increasingly taking the form of multi-way tensors, new signal processing tools are needed to maximally utilize…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Jay S. Stanley , Eric C. Chi , Gal Mishne

The paper proposes a time-varying parameter global vector autoregressive (TVP-GVAR) framework for predicting and analysing developed region economic variables. We want to provide an easily accessible approach for the economy application…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-14 Yukang Jiang , Xueqin Wang , Zhixi Xiong , Haisheng Yang , Ting Tian

Forecasting relations between entities is paramount in the current era of data and AI. However, it is often overlooked that real-world relationships are inherently directional, involve more than two entities, and can change with time. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Tony Gracious , Arman Gupta , Ambedkar Dukkipati

For general panel data, by introducing network structure, network vector autoregressive (NVAR) model captured the linear inter dependencies among multiple time series. In this paper, we propose network vector autoregressive model for dyadic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-31 Jiajia Wang

This paper proposes a learning model, based on rank-fusion graphs, for general applicability in multimodal prediction tasks, such as multimodal regression and image classification. Rank-fusion graphs encode information from multiple…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Icaro Cavalcante Dourado , Salvatore Tabbone , Ricardo da Silva Torres

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about user transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-24 Valentina Shumovskaia , Kirill Fedyanin , Ivan Sukharev , Dmitry Berestnev , Maxim Panov

In this paper, we propose a framework for graph signal processing using category theory. The aim is to generalize a few recent works on probabilistic approaches to graph signal processing, which handle signal and graph uncertainties.

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-27 Feng Ji , Xingchao Jian , Wee Peng Tay

Nowadays, time series forecasting is predominantly approached through the end-to-end training of deep learning architectures using error-based objectives. While this is effective at minimizing average loss, it encourages the encoder to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Jiacheng Wang , Liang Fan , Baihua Li , Luyan Zhang

The representation of graphs is commonly based on the adjacency matrix concept. This formulation is the foundation of most algebraic and computational approaches to graph processing. The advent of deep learning language models offers a wide…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Ezequiel Lopez-Rubio

Recent years have witnessed the impressive progress in Neural Dependency Parsing. According to the different factorization approaches to the graph joint probabilities, existing parsers can be roughly divided into autoregressive and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ye Ma , Mingming Sun , Ping Li

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Jimeng Shi , Rukmangadh Myana , Vitalii Stebliankin , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Link prediction aims to reveal missing edges in a graph. We address this task with a Gaussian process that is transformed using simplified graph convolutions to better leverage the inductive bias of the domain. To scale the Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Felix L. Opolka , Pietro Liò

Neural networks for structured data like graphs have been studied extensively in recent years. To date, the bulk of research activity has focused mainly on static graphs. However, most real-world networks are dynamic since their topology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Changmin Wu , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

In the study of complex physical and physiological systems represented by multivariate time series, an issue of great interest is the description of the system dynamics over a range of different temporal scales. While information-theoretic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Luca Faes , Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Giandomenico Nollo , Daniele Marinazzo

A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

In applications such as social, energy, transportation, sensor, and neuronal networks, high-dimensional data naturally reside on the vertices of weighted graphs. The emerging field of signal processing on graphs merges algebraic and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-06-12 David I Shuman , Sunil K. Narang , Pascal Frossard , Antonio Ortega , Pierre Vandergheynst

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti