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Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Naoya Hashimoto , Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

The sequential compactness afforded hybrid systems under mild regularity constraints guarantee outer/upper semicontinuous dependence of solutions on initial conditions and perturbations. For reachable sets of hybrid systems, this property…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Berk Altın , Ricardo G. Sanfelice

The performance of model-based control techniques strongly depends on the quality of the employed dynamics model. If strong guarantees are desired, it is therefore common to robustly treat all possible sources of uncertainty, such as model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Elena Arcari , Andrea Iannelli , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Determining the reachable set for a given nonlinear system is critically important for autonomous trajectory planning for reach-avoid applications and safety critical scenarios. Providing the reachable set is generally impossible when the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Taha Shafa , Melkior Ornik

This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

We develop an indirect-adaptive model predictive control algorithm for uncertain linear systems subject to constraints. The system is modeled as a polytopic linear parameter varying system where the convex combination vector is constant but…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-25 Stefano Di Cairano

In this letter a new solvable model of synchronization dynamics is introduced. It consists of a system of long range interacting tops with random precession frequencies. The model allows for an explicit study of orientational effects in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 Felix Ritort

This paper studies the informativity problem for reachability and null-controllability of constrained systems. To be precise, we will focus on an unknown linear systems with convex conic constraints from which we measure data consisting of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Jaap Eising , M. Kanat Camlibel

We consider the decidability of state-to-state reachability in linear time-invariant control systems over continuous time. We analyse this problem with respect to the allowable control sets, which are assumed to be the image under a linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohan Dantam , Amaury Pouly

We study finite horizon reachable set estimation for unknown discrete-time dynamical systems using only sampled state trajectories. Rather than treating scenario optimization as a black-box tool, we show how it can be tailored to reachable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Georgios Pantazis , Michelle S. Chong

In this paper, we study the control properties of a new class of stochastic ensemble systems that consists of families of random variables. These random variables provide an increasingly good approximation of an unknown discrete,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-25 Nirabhra Mandal , Mohammad Khajenejad , Sonia Martinez

In this paper, we present Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) problems with adjustable uncertainty sets. In contrast to standard Robust MPC problems with known uncertainty sets, we treat the uncertainty sets in our problems as additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-21 Yeojun Kim , Xiaojing Zhang , Jacopo Guanetti , Francesco Borrelli

We study the computation of lower and upper probabilities of hitting a target set of states for imprecise Markov chains, where transition uncertainty is modelled by a convex set of transition matrices. In the precise case, hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

In this work, we consider systems that are subjected to intermittent instabilities due to external stochastic excitation. These intermittent instabilities, though rare, have a large impact on the probabilistic response of the system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Two numerical methods are proposed for detection of coupling between multiple time series generated by deterministic nonlinear systems. The first detects interdependence or the existence of coupling between time series. The second…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-07 Timothy Sauer , George Sugihara

This paper is aimed at extending the H-infinity Bounded Real Lemma to stochastic systems under random disturbances with imprecisely known probability distributions. The statistical uncertainty is measured in entropy theoretic terms using…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Michael M. Tchaikovsky , Alexander P. Kurdyukov , Victor N. Timin

This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

In this paper we propose an output-feedback Model Predictive Control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by a possibly unbounded additive noise and subject to probabilistic constraints. In case the noise distribution…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-29 Marcello Farina , Luca Giulioni , Lalo Magni , Riccardo Scattolini