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Stochastic dynamical systems allow modelling of transitions induced by disturbances, in particular from an attracting equilibrium and crossing the stable manifold of a saddle. In the small-noise limit, the probability of such transitions is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-05 Jiayao Shao , Tobias Grafke , Robert S. MacKay

Modelling is an essential procedure in analyzing and controlling a given logical dynamic system (LDS). It has been proved that deterministic LDS can be modeled as a linear-like system using algebraic state space representation. However, due…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Changxi Li , Jun-e Feng , Daizhan Cheng , Xiao Zhang

Learning stochastic models of dynamical systems from observed data is of interest in many scientific fields. Here, we propose a new method for this task within the family of dynamical variational autoencoders. The proposed double projection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Viktor Sip , Martin Breyton , Spase Petkoski , Viktor Jirsa

Mathematical theory of selection is developed within the frameworks of general models of inhomogeneous populations with continuous time. Methods that allow us to study the distribution dynamics under natural selection and to construct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-22 Georgy P. Karev

Linear dynamical relations that may exist in continuous-time, or at some natural sampling rate, are not directly discernable at reduced observational sampling rates. Indeed, at reduced rates, matricial spectral densities of vectorial time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

The probability distributions, as well as the mean values of stochastic currents and fluxes, associated with a driven Langevin process, provide a good and topologically protected measure of how far a stochastic system is driven out of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

The state of many physical, biological and socio-technical systems evolves by combining smooth local transitions and abrupt resetting events to a set of reference values. The inclusion of the resetting mechanism not only provides the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-21 Oriol Artime

To describe the nonequilibrium states of a system we introduce a new thermodynamic parameter - the lifetime (the first passage time) of a system. The statistical distributions that can be obtained out of the mesoscopic description…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

The appeal of thermodynamics to problems outside physics is undeniable, as is the growing recognition of its apparent universality, yet in the absence of a rigorous formalism divorced from the peculiarities of molecular systems all attempts…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-06 Themis Matsoukas

In this paper, we learn dynamics models for parametrized families of dynamical systems with varying properties. The dynamics models are formulated as stochastic processes conditioned on a latent context variable which is inferred from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jan Achterhold , Joerg Stueckler

We distinguish a mechanical representation of the world in terms of point masses with positions and momenta and the chemical representation of the world in terms of populations of different individuals, each with intrinsic stochasticity,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-07 Hong Qian

We give a overview of stochastic models of evolution that have found applications in genetics, ecology and linguistics for an audience of nonspecialists, especially statistical physicists. In particular, we focus mostly on neutral models in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 R. A. Blythe , A. J. McKane

Sample average approximation--based stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) and model predictive control (MPC) are two different methods for approaching multistage stochastic optimization. In this paper we investigate the conditions under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Andrew B. Philpott , Edward J. Anderson

In biology and ecology, individuals or communities of individuals living in unpredictable environments often alternate between different evolutionary strategies to spread and reduce risks. Such behavior is commonly referred to as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-11 Jorge Hidalgo , Simone Pigolotti , Miguel A. Munoz

A probabilistic framework is proposed for the optimization of efficient switched control strategies for physical systems dominated by stochastic excitation. In this framework, the equation for the state trajectory is replaced with an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Gianluca Meneghello , Paolo Luchini , Thomas Bewley

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

The work relates to a new way for analysis of one-dimensional stochastic systems, based on consideration of its higher order difference structure. From this point of view, the deterministic and random processes are analyzed. A new numerical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-08 A. Yu. Shahverdian , A. V. Apkarian

The quasi-steady-state approximation (or stochastic averaging principle) is a useful tool in the study of multiscale stochastic systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of degrees of freedom in a model. The method is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Matthew J. Smith

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

We present a novel approach to investigate the long-time stochastic dynamics of multi-dimensional classical systems, in contact with a heat-bath. When the potential energy landscape is rugged, the kinetics displays a decoupling of short and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 O. Corradini , P. Faccioli , H. Orland