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Income inequality estimators are biased in small samples, leading generally to an underestimation. This aspect deserves particular attention when estimating inequality in small domains and performing small area estimation at the area level.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Given a finite collection of estimators or classifiers, we study the problem of model selection type aggregation, that is, we construct a new estimator or classifier, called aggregate, which is nearly as good as the best among them with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-10 A. Juditsky , P. Rigollet , A. B. Tsybakov

The functional autoregressive model is a Markov model taylored for data of functional nature. It revealed fruitful when attempting to model samples of dependent random curves and has been widely studied along the past few years. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Mas

Financial market dynamics is rigorously studied via the exact generalized Langevin equation. Assuming market Brownian self-similarity, the market return rate memory and autocorrelation functions are derived, which exhibit an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-17 R. Tsekov

Income segregation measures the extent to which households choose to live near other households with similar incomes. Sociologists theorize that income segregation can exacerbate the impacts of income inequality, and have developed indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-24 Matthew Simpson , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle , Jonathan R. Bradley

We discuss the distribution of commuting distances and its relation to income. Using data from Denmark, the UK, and the US, we show that the commuting distance is (i) broadly distributed with a slow decaying tail that can be fitted by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-13 Giulia Carra , Ismir Mulalic , Mogens Fosgerau , Marc Barthelemy

The weighted average of inconsistent data is a common and tedious problem that many scientists have encountered. The standard weighted average is not recommended for these cases, and various alternative methods have been proposed. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-20 Martino Trassinelli , Marleen Maxton

The aim of this paper is to investigate discrete approximations of the exponential functional $\int_0^{\infty} \exp(B(t) - \nu t) \di t$ of Brownian motion (which plays an important role in Asian options of financial mathematics) by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Tamas Szabados , Balazs Szekely

Model averaging is an important alternative to model selection with attractive prediction accuracy. However, its application to high-dimensional data remains under-explored. We propose a high-dimensional model averaging method via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Zhengyan Wan , Fang Fang , Binyan Jiang

Mounting evidences are being gathered suggesting that income and wealth distribution in various countries or societies follow a robust pattern, close to the Gibbs distribution of energy in an ideal gas in equilibrium, but also deviating…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Arnab Chatterjee , Sitabhra Sinha , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Correlation between microstructure noise and latent financial logarithmic returns is an empirically relevant phenomenon with sound theoretical justification. With few notable exceptions, all integrated variance estimators proposed in the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-29 Stefano Peluso , Antonietta Mira , Pietro Muliere

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random elements on $C[0,1]$. We show that, under an appropriate strengthening of the domain of attraction condition, natural estimators of the extreme-value index, which is now a continuous function, and the normalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Tao Lin

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Fractional Brownian motion, a stochastic process with long-time correlations between its increments, is a prototypical model for anomalous diffusion. We analyze fractional Brownian motion in the presence of a reflecting wall by means of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-21 Alexander H. O. Wada , Thomas Vojta

We use a controlled laboratory experiment to study the causal impact of income decreases within a time period on redistribution decisions at the end of that period, in an environment where we keep fixed the sum of incomes over the period.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-08 Nickolas Gagnon , Riccardo D. Saulle , Henrik W. Zaunbrecher

We consider a last-passage directed percolation model in $Z_+^2$, with i.i.d. weights whose common distribution has a finite $(2+p)$th moment. We study the fluctuations of the passage time from the origin to the point $\big(n,n^{\lfloor a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thierry Bodineau , James B. Martin

This paper attempts to find a relationship between agents' risk aversion and inequality of incomes. Specifically, a model is proposed for the evolution in time of surplus/deficit distribution, and the long-time distributions are…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-12 Eleonora Perversi , Eugenio Regazzini
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