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This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

The recent exploitation of natural resources and associated waste water injection in the subsurface have induced many small and moderate earthquakes in the tectonically quiet Central United States. This increase in seismic activity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-18 José Augusto Proença Maia Devienne

In the last few years, deep learning has solved seemingly intractable problems, boosting the hope to find approximate solutions to problems that now are considered unsolvable. Earthquake prediction, the Grail of Seismology, is, in this…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Arnaud Mignan , Marco Broccardo

Machine learning is becoming increasingly important in scientific and technological progress, due to its ability to create models that describe complex data and generalize well. The wealth of publicly-available seismic data nowadays…

Deep learning enhances earthquake monitoring capabilities by mining seismic waveforms directly. However, current neural networks, trained within specific areas, face challenges in generalizing to diverse regions. Here, we employ a data…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-04 Xiong Zhang , Miao Zhang

Deep learning techniques for processing large and complex datasets have unlocked new opportunities for fast and reliable earthquake analysis using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data. This work presents a deep learning model,…

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

Spatiotemporal correlations of the two-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) models of earthquakes with the long-range inter-block interactions are extensively studied by means of numerical computer simulations. The long-range…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-13 Takahiro Mori , Hikaru Kawamura

Numerical and experimental turbulence simulations are nowadays reaching the size of the so-called big data, thus requiring refined investigative tools for appropriate statistical analyses and data mining. We present a new approach based on…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-01-05 Stefania Scarsoglio , Giovanni Iacobello , Luca Ridolfi

According to some recent analysis (M. Baiesi and M. Paczuski, Phys. Rev. E {\bf 69}, 066106, 2004 \cite{maya1}) of earthquake data, aftershock epicenters can be considered to represent the nodes of a network where the linking scheme depends…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kamalika Basu Hajra , Parongama Sen

Complex network theory provides a powerful framework to statistically investigate the topology of local and non-local statistical interrelationships, i.e. teleconnections, in the climate system. Climate networks constructed from the same…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-07-27 Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

We examine the applicability of modern neural network architectures to the midterm prediction of earthquakes. Our data-based classification model aims to predict if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold takes place at a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Roman Kail , Alexey Zaytsev , Evgeny Burnaev

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for Southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alvaro Corral

We present results for long term and intermediate term prediction algorithms applied to a simple mechanical model of a fault. We use long term prediction methods based, for example, on the distribution of repeat times between large events…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 S. L. Pepke , J. M. Carlson , B. E. Shaw

In this article we implemented simulations of the OFC model for earthquakes for two different topologies: regular and small-world, where in the latter the links are randomly rewired with probability $p$ . In both topologies, we have studied…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-05-05 Douglas S. R. Ferreira , Andrés R. R. Papa , Ronaldo Menezes

Earthquakes are among the most immediate and deadly natural disasters that humans face. Accurately forecasting the extent of earthquake damage and assessing potential risks can be instrumental in saving numerous lives. In this study, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Koyu Mizutani , Haruki Mitarai , Kakeru Miyazaki , Soichiro Kumano , Toshihiko Yamasaki

Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

A crucial point in the debate on feasibility of earthquake prediction is the dependence of an earthquake magnitude from past seismicity. Indeed, whilst clustering in time and space is widely accepted, much more questionable is the existence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

This study describes a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based technique for the prediction of intensity measurements (IMs) of ground shaking. The input data to the CNN model consists of multistation 3C broadband and accelerometric…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-13 Dario Jozinović , Anthony Lomax , Ivan Štajduhar , Alberto Michelini

While deep learning models have seen recent high uptake in the geosciences, and are appealing in their ability to learn from minimally processed input data, as black box models they do not provide an easy means to understand how a decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Akshat Goel , Denise Gorse