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The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted lives and economies across the globe, leading to many deaths. While vaccination is an important intervention, its roll-out is slow and unequal across the globe. Therefore, extensive testing still remains…

There are multiple testing methods to ascertain an infection in an individual and they vary in their performances, cost and delay. Unfortunately, better performing tests are sometimes costlier and time consuming and can only be done for a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Harish Sasikumar , Manoj Varma

Testing for infection with SARS-CoV-2 is an important intervention in reducing onwards transmission of COVID-19, particularly when combined with the isolation and contact-tracing of positive cases. Many countries with the capacity to do so…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-19 Miguel E. P. Silva , Martyn Fyles , Li Pi , Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths , Caroline Jay , Thomas House , Elizabeth Fearon

COVID-19 testing has become a standard approach for estimating prevalence which then assist in public health decision making to contain and mitigate the spread of the disease. The sampling designs used are often biased in that they do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-24 Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , J Sunil Rao

A phenomenological model to describe the Corona Virus(covid-19) Pandemic spread in a given population is developed. It enables the identification of the key quantities required to form adequate policies for control and mitigation in terms…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-31 Anantanarayanan Thyagaraja

In many public health settings, there is a perceived tension between allocating resources to known vulnerable areas and learning about the overall prevalence of the problem. Inspired by a door-to-door Covid-19 testing program we helped…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Ben Chugg , Daniel E. Ho

The interpretation of sampling data plays a crucial role in policy response to the spread of a disease during an epidemic, such as the COVID-19 epidemic of 2020. However, this is a non-trivial endeavor due to the complexity of real world…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-30 James D. Brunner , Nicholas Chia

By the end of 2020, a year since the first cases of infection by the Covid-19 virus have been reported, there is a light at the end of the tunnel. Several pharmaceutical companies made significant progress in developing effective vaccines…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-04 Hilla De-Leon , Francesco Pederiva

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major disturbance to human life. An important reason behind the widespread social anxiety is the huge uncertainty about the pandemic. A fundamental uncertainty is how many or what percentage of people have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-04 Donghui Yan , Ying Xu , Pei Wang

COVID-19 pandemic has reshaped our world in a timescale much shorter than what we can understand. Particularities of SARS-CoV-2, such as its persistence in surfaces and the lack of a curative treatment or vaccine against COVID-19, have…

A major difficulty to estimate $R$ (the effective reproducing number) of COVID-19 is that most cases of COVID-19 infection are mild or asymptomatic, therefore true number of infection is difficult to determine. This paper estimates the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-14 Yoriyuki Yamagata

Efficient personnel scheduling plays a significant role in matching workload demand in organizations. However, staff scheduling is sometimes affected by unexpected events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, that disrupt regular operations.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Mansoor Davoodi , Ana Batista , Abhishek Senapati , Justin M. Calabrese

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has spread rapidly across the world, leading to enormous amounts of human death and economic loss. Until definitive preventive or curative measures are developed, policies regarding testing,…

Rapid testing of appropriate specimens from patients suspected for a disease during an epidemic, such as the current Coronavirus outbreak, is of a great importance for the disease management and control. We propose a method to enhance…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-27 Usama Kadri

During the course of an epidemic, one of the most challenging tasks for authorities is to decide what kind of restrictive measures to introduce and when these should be enforced. In order to take informed decisions in a fully rational…

A deterministic model with testing of infected individuals has been proposed to investigate the potential consequences of the impact of testing strategy. The model exhibits global dynamics concerning the disease-free and a unique endemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-24 Sarita Bugalia , Jai Prakash Tripathi

Testing individuals for pathogens can affect the spread of epidemics. Understanding how individual-level processes of sampling and reporting test results can affect community- or population-level spread is a dynamical modeling question. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-20 Ali Gharouni , F. M. Abdelmalek , David J. D. Earn , Jonathan Dushoff , Benjamin M. Bolker

The novel COVID-19 pandemic is a current, major global health threat. Up till now, there is no fully approved pharmacological treatment or a vaccine. In this study, simple mathematical models were employed to examine the dynamics of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-25 Ahmed S. Elgazzar

In order to slow the spread of the CoViD-19 pandemic, governments around the world have enacted a wide set of policies limiting the transmission of the disease. Initially, these focused on non-pharmaceutical interventions; more recently,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Janoś Gabler , Tobias Raabe , Klara Röhrl , Hans-Martin von Gaudecker

While many efforts are currently devoted to vaccines development and administration, social distancing measures, including severe restrictions such as lockdowns, remain fundamental tools to contain the spread of COVID-19. A crucial point…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-03 Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto