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We develop a multiple-events model and exploit within and between country variation in the timing, type and level of intensity of various public policies to study their dynamic effects on the daily incidence of COVID-19 and on population…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-03 Nikos Askitas , Konstantinos Tatsiramos , Bertrand Verheyden

This paper aims at providing the summary of the Global Data Science Project (GDSC) for COVID-19. as on May 31 2020. COVID-19 has largely impacted on our societies through both direct and indirect effects transmitted by the policy measures…

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak was declared a pandemic in March 2020 and since then it has had a significant effect on all aspects of life. Although we live in an information era, we do not have accurate information about this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Amin Mahmoudi , Victoria Wai-lan Yeung , Eric W. K. See-To

In the new paradigm of health-centric governance, policy makers are in a constant need for appropriate metrics and estimates in order to determine the best policies in a non-arbitrary fashion. Thus, in this paper, a compartmentalized model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-20 Suryadeepto Nag , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

We present an interpretable high-resolution spatio-temporal model to estimate COVID-19 deaths together with confirmed cases one-week ahead of the current time, at the county-level and weekly aggregated, in the United States. A notable…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Mauricio Santillana , Shihao Yang , Yao Xie

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

Given aggregated mobile device data, the goal is to understand the impact of COVID-19 policy interventions on mobility. This problem is vital due to important societal use cases, such as safely reopening the economy. Challenges include…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Arun Sharma , Majid Farhadloo , Yan Li , Aditya Kulkarni , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar

As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has shown profound effects on public health and the economy worldwide, it becomes crucial to assess the impact on the virus transmission and develop effective strategies to address the challenge. A…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-12 Chih-Li Sung

We apply topological data analysis, specifically the Mapper algorithm, to the U.S. COVID-19 data. The resulting Mapper graphs provide visualizations of the pandemic that are more complete than those supplied by other, more standard methods.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Yiran Chen , Ismar Volic

The COVID-19 disease spreads swiftly, and nearly three months after the first positive case was confirmed in China, Coronavirus started to spread all over the United States. Some states and counties reported high number of positive cases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Samira Ziyadidegan , Moein Razavi , Homa Pesarakli , Amir Hossein Javid , Madhav Erraguntla

Urban mobility is central to economic activity, social inclusion, and access to essential services. COVID-19 caused disruptions to mobility globally, yet its long-term impacts in less developed countries remain poorly understood. Using over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-16 Carmen Cabrera , Miguel González-Leonardo , Andrea Nasuto , Ruth Neville , Francisco Rowe

We develop a novel hybrid epidemiological model and a specific methodology for its calibration to distinguish and assess the impact of mobility restrictions (given by Apple's mobility trends data) from other complementary non-pharmaceutical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-30 Victor Hugo Grisales Diaz , Oscar Andres Prado-Rubio , Mark J. Willis

The relationship between pandemic and human mobility has received considerable attention from scholars, as it can provide an indication of how mobility patterns change in response to a public health crisis or whether reduced mobility…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Jungwoo Cho , Soohwan Oh , Seyun Kim , Namwoo Kim , Yuyol Shin , Haechan Cho , Yoonjin Yoon

This paper introduces a novel approach to spatio-temporal data analysis using metric geometry to study the propagation of COVID-19 across the United States. Using a geodesic Wasserstein metric, we analyse discrepancies between the density…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-08 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

A contact-tracing strategy has been deemed necessary to contain the spread of COVID-19 following the relaxation of lockdown measures. Using an agent-based model, we explore one of the technology-based strategies proposed, a contact-tracing…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Jonatan Almagor , Stefano Picascia

At the beginning of 2020 the world has seen the initial outbreak of COVID-19, a disease caused by SARS-CoV2 virus in China. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared this disease as a pandemic on March 11 2020. As the disease spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-17 Pitoyo Hartono

Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, travel restrictions have emerged as crucial interventions for mitigating the spread of the virus. In this study, we enhance the predictive capabilities of our model, Sequence-to-Sequence Epidemic Attention…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-14 Yukang Jiang , Ting Tian , Huajun Xie , Hailiang Guo , Xueqin Wang

The COVID-19 pandemic is changing the world in unprecedented and unpredictable ways. Human mobility is at the epicenter of that change, as the greatest facilitator for the spread of the virus. To study the change in mobility, to evaluate…