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Spatial prediction refers to the estimation of unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although recent advances have improved the capacity to model diverse observation types, adoption in practice remains limited in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-10 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) require computationally intensive numerical solvers to predict spatiotemporal field evolution. While machine learning (ML) surrogates offer faster solutions, autoregressive inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Ishan Khurjekar , Indrashish Saha , Lori Graham-Brady , Somdatta Goswami

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

We propose a non-intrusive method to build surrogate models that approximate the solution of parameterized partial differential equations (PDEs), capable of taking into account the dependence of the solution on the shape of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Linying Zhang , Stefano Pagani , Jun Zhang , Francesco Regazzoni

Coarse-scale surrogate models in the context of numerical homogenization of linear elliptic problems with arbitrary rough diffusion coefficients rely on the efficient solution of fine-scale sub-problems on local subdomains whose solutions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Fabian Kröpfl , Roland Maier , Daniel Peterseim

Surrogate modeling of costly mathematical models representing physical systems is challenging since it is typically not possible to create a large experimental design. Thus, it is beneficial to constrain the approximation to adhere to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Lukáš Novák , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields

Recently, electromagnetic surrogate solvers, trained on solutions of Maxwell's equations under specific simulation conditions, enabled fast inference of computationally expensive simulations. However, conventional electromagnetic surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Joonhyuk Seo , Chanik Kang , Dongjin Seo , Haejun Chung

We present a framework for automatically structuring and training fast, approximate, deep neural surrogates of stochastic simulators. Unlike traditional approaches to surrogate modeling, our surrogates retain the interpretable structure and…

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Transmission expansion planning (TEP) plays a critical role in ensuring power system reliability and facilitating the integration of renewable energy resources. However, this process requires planners to constantly deal with significant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Victor Schmitt , Farzaneh Pourahmadi , Angela Flores-Quiroz , Pablo Apablaza , Pierluigi Mancarella

Representation learning often plays a critical role in reinforcement learning by managing the curse of dimensionality. A representative class of algorithms exploits a spectral decomposition of the stochastic transition dynamics to construct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Tongzheng Ren , Tianjun Zhang , Lisa Lee , Joseph E. Gonzalez , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

Driven by the need to accelerate numerical simulations, the use of machine learning techniques is rapidly growing in the field of computational solid mechanics. Their application is especially advantageous in concurrent multiscale finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-22 M. A. Maia , I. B. C. M. Rocha , P. Kerfriden , F. P. van der Meer

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

Computer simulation has become the standard tool in many engineering fields for designing and optimizing systems, as well as for assessing their reliability. To cope with demanding analysis such as optimization and reliability, surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-16 R. Schoebi , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

The Stochastic Series Expansion (SSE) technique is a quantum Monte Carlo method that is especially efficient for many quantum spin systems and boson models. It was the first generic method free from the discretization errors affecting…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-09-25 Anders W. Sandvik

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Benjamin M. Kent , Catherine E. Powell , David J. Silvester , Małgorzata J. Zimoń

Inference-time scaling offers a versatile paradigm for aligning visual generative models with downstream objectives without parameter updates. However, existing approaches that optimize the high-dimensional initial noise suffer from severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Jinyan Ye , Zhongjie Duan , Zhiwen Li , Cen Chen , Daoyuan Chen , Yaliang Li , Yingda Chen

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret