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Estimating the probability of rare failure events is an essential step in the reliability assessment of engineering systems. Computing this failure probability for complex non-linear systems is challenging, and has recently spurred the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-10 P. -R. Wagner , S. Marelli , I. Papaioannou , D. Straub , B. Sudret

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías

In surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is popularly utilized to represent the random model responses, which are computationally expensive and usually obtained by deterministic numerical modeling approaches including finite…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Z. Liu , D. Lesselier , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Stochastic simulators are non-deterministic computer models which provide a different response each time they are run, even when the input parameters are held at fixed values. They arise when additional sources of uncertainty are affecting…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-01 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

The paper presents a novel methodology to build surrogate models of complicated functions by an active learning-based sequential decomposition of the input random space and construction of localized polynomial chaos expansions, referred to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields , Václav Sadílek , Miroslav Vořechovský

In the field of surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) allows practitioners to construct inexpensive yet accurate surrogates to be used in place of the expensive forward model simulations. For black-box simulations,…

In this paper we propose a new sampling-free approach to solve Bayesian model inversion problems that is an extension of the previously proposed spectral likelihood expansions (SLE) method. Our approach, called stochastic spectral…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-21 P. -R. Wagner , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Engineering and applied science rely on computational experiments to rigorously study physical systems. The mathematical models used to probe these systems are highly complex, and sampling-intensive studies often require prohibitively many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Joy N. Mueller , Khachik Sargsyan , Craig J. Daniels , Habib N. Najm

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has received much attention in the literature in the past decade. In this context, Sparse Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have been shown to be among the most promising methods because of their ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 N. Fajraoui , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have proven efficiency in a number of fields for propagating parametric uncertainties through computational models of complex systems, namely structural and fluid mechanics, chemical reactions and…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-13 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

Building surrogate models with uncertainty quantification capabilities is essential for many engineering applications where randomness, such as variability in material properties, is unavoidable. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is widely…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Bahador Bahmani , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are an efficient and widely used surrogate modeling method in uncertainty quantification for engineering problems with computationally expensive models. To make use of the available information in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-26 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

To date, the analysis of high-dimensional, computationally expensive engineering models remains a difficult challenge in risk and reliability engineering. We use a combination of dimensionality reduction and surrogate modelling termed…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-20 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Bruno Sudret , Daniel Straub

The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

This paper describes novel algorithms for the identification of (almost-)resonant behavior in scattering problems. Our methods, relying on rational approximation, aim at building surrogate models of what we call "field amplification",…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Davide Pradovera , Ralf Hiptmair , Ilaria Perugia

In deep neural nets, lower level embedding layers account for a large portion of the total number of parameters. Tikhonov regularization, graph-based regularization, and hard parameter sharing are approaches that introduce explicit biases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Liwei Wu , Shuqing Li , Cho-Jui Hsieh , James Sharpnack

Stochastic unit commitment models typically handle uncertainties in forecast demand by considering a finite number of realizations from a stochastic process model for loads. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher moments for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-paul watson
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