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A machine learning technique is proposed for quantifying uncertainty in power system dynamics with spatiotemporally correlated stochastic forcing. We learn one-dimensional linear partial differential equations for the probability density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Tyler E. Maltba , Vishwas Rao , Daniel Adrian Maldonado

Decomposing prediction uncertainty into aleatoric (irreducible) and epistemic (reducible) components is critical for the reliable deployment of machine learning systems. While the mutual information between the response variable and model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Anchit Jain , Stephen Bates

Model correction is essential for reliable PDE learning when the governing physics is misspecified due to simplified assumptions or limited observations. In the machine learning literature, existing correction methods typically operate in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Wenwen Zhou , Xiaodong Feng , Ling Guo , Hao Wu

We develop a family of expanded mixed Multiscale Finite Element Methods (MsFEMs) and their hybridizations for second-order elliptic equations. This formulation expands the standard mixed Multiscale Finite Element formulation in the sense…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-05-22 Lijian Jiang , Dylan Copeland , J. David Moulton

In this paper, we apply the constraint energy minimizing generalized multiscale finite element method (CEM-GMsFEM) to first solving a nonlinear poroelasticity problem. The arising system consists of a nonlinear pressure equation and a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Shubin Fu , Eric Chung , Tina Mai

This work highlights an approach for incorporating realistic uncertainties into scientific computing workflows based on finite elements, focusing on applications in computational mechanics and design optimization. We leverage Mat\'ern-type…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Tobias Duswald , Brendan Keith , Boyan Lazarov , Socratis Petrides , Barbara Wohlmuth

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

Numerous deep learning applications benefit from multi-task learning with multiple regression and classification objectives. In this paper we make the observation that the performance of such systems is strongly dependent on the relative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Alex Kendall , Yarin Gal , Roberto Cipolla

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

Complex spatiotemporal dynamics of physicochemical processes are often modeled at a microscopic level (through e.g. atomistic, agent-based or lattice models) based on first principles. Some of these processes can also be successfully…

Uncertainty Quantification aims to determine when the prediction from a Machine Learning model is likely to be wrong. Computer Vision research has explored methods for determining epistemic uncertainty (also known as model uncertainty),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Prithviraj Manivannan , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Andreea Ioana Sburlea

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Real-time simulation of elastic structures is essential in many applications, from computer-guided surgical interventions to interactive design in mechanical engineering. The Finite Element Method is often used as the numerical method of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Alban Odot , Ryadh Haferssas , Stéphane Cotin

The requirement to generate robust robotic platforms is a critical enabling step to allow such platforms to permeate safety-critical applications (i.e., the localization of autonomous platforms in urban environments). One of the primary…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-14 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

We study an element agglomeration coarsening strategy that requires data redistribution at coarse levels when the number of coarse elements becomes smaller than the used computational units (cores). The overall procedure generates coarse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Hillary R. Fairbanks , Delyan Z. Kalchev , Chak Shing Lee , Panayot S. Vassilevski

Objective: Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have demonstrated promise in automated cardiac magnetic resonance image segmentation. However, when using CNNs in a large real-world dataset, it is important to quantify segmentation…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-02 Matthew Ng , Fumin Guo , Labonny Biswas , Steffen E. Petersen , Stefan K. Piechnik , Stefan Neubauer , Graham Wright

Deep unrolling is an emerging deep learning-based image reconstruction methodology that bridges the gap between model-based and purely deep learning-based image reconstruction methods. Although deep unrolling methods achieve…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-21 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

In monocular depth estimation, disturbances in the image context, like moving objects or reflecting materials, can easily lead to erroneous predictions. For that reason, uncertainty estimates for each pixel are necessary, in particular for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Julia Hornauer , Vasileios Belagiannis

We propose Deep Neural Coregionalization, a scalable framework for uncertainty-aware multivariate geostatistics. DNC models multivariate spatial effects through spatially varying latent factors and loadings, assigning deep Gaussian process…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Yeseul Jeon , Aaron Scheffler , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi