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This paper presents the machine learning-based ensemble conditional mean filter (ML-EnCMF) -- a filtering method based on the conditional mean filter (CMF) previously introduced in the literature. The updated mean of the CMF matches that of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Sebastian Krumscheid , Hermann G. Matthies , Raúl Tempone

In this study, we explore data assimilation for the Stochastic Camassa-Holm equation through the application of the particle filtering framework. Specifically, our approach integrates adaptive tempering, jittering, and nudging techniques to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Colin John Cotter , Dan Crisan , Maneesh Kumar Singh

Standard methods of data assimilation assume prior knowledge of a model that describes the system dynamics and an observation function that maps the model state to a predicted output. An accurate mapping from model state to observation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

We consider the problem of selecting an optimal set of sensor precisions to estimate the states of a non-linear dynamical system using an Ensemble Kalman filter and an Unscented Kalman filter, which uses random and deterministic ensembles…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-16 Niladri Das , Raktim Bhattacharya

This paper introduces a new perspective on multi-class ensemble classification that considers training an ensemble as a state estimation problem. The new perspective considers the final ensemble classifier model as a static state, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Arjun Pakrashi , Brian Mac Namee

The increasing availability of data presents an opportunity to calibrate unknown parameters which appear in complex models of phenomena in the biomedical, physical and social sciences. However, model complexity often leads to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Andrew B. Duncan , Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has been proposed to devise data-driven parametrisations of unresolved processes in dynamical numerical models. In most cases, the ML training leverages high-resolution simulations to provide a dense,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-09 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi

The synchronization of motor responses to rhythmic auditory cues is a fundamental biological phenomenon observed across various species. While the importance of temporal alignment varies across different contexts, achieving precise temporal…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Hugo T. Carvalho , Min S. Li , Massimiliano di Luca , Alan M. Wing

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has become a standard methodology for state estimation in high-dimensional systems, yet its various stochastic and deterministic formulations often appear conceptually disconnected. In this paper, a unified…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Jin Won Kim

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Coupled data assimilation (CDA) distinctively appears as a main concern in numerical weather and climate prediction with major efforts put forward worldwide. The core issue is the scale separation acting as a barrier that hampers the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Maxime Tondeur , Alberto Carrassi , Stephane Vannitsem , Marc Bocquet

This survey paper is written with the intention of giving a mathematical introduction to filtering techniques for intermittent data assimilation, and to survey some recent advances in the field. The paper is divided into three parts. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Colin J. Cotter , Sebastian Reich

Many systems for which compressive sensing is used today are dynamical. The common approach is to neglect the dynamics and see the problem as a sequence of independent problems. This approach has two disadvantages. Firstly, the temporal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-09-30 Henrik Ohlsson , Michel Verhaegen , S. Shankar Sastry

While the formulation of most data assimilation schemes assumes an unbiased observation model error, in real applications, model error with nontrivial biases is unavoidable. A practical example is the error in the radiative transfer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 John Harlim , Tyrus Berry

The Kalman Filter has been called one of the greatest inventions in statistics during the 20th century. Its purpose is to measure the state of a system by processing the noisy data received from different electronic sensors. In comparison,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-25 Ulrik W. Nash

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) is now a popular method for performing Bayesian statistical inference on challenging state space models (SSMs) with unknown static parameters. It uses a particle filter (PF) at each iteration of an…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-19 Christopher Drovandi , Richard G Everitt , Andrew Golightly , Dennis Prangle

The Kalman filter is a fundamental filtering algorithm that fuses noisy sensory data, a previous state estimate, and a dynamics model to produce a principled estimate of the current state. It assumes, and is optimal for, linear models and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Beren Millidge , Alexander Tschantz , Anil Seth , Christopher Buckley
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