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In this paper we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The model consists of data that are observed at regular and discrete times and the objective is to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-23 Ajay Jasra , Amin Wu

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

We consider situations where the applicability of sequential Monte Carlo particle filters is compromised due to the expensive evaluation of the particle weights. To alleviate this problem, we propose a new particle filter algorithm based on…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-24 Kari Heine , Daniel Burrows

This paper focuses on the estimation of partially observed branching processes. First, the estimators from a frequentist perspective proposed in the literature are reviewed. The main objective of this paper is to present computational tools…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-21 Miguel González , Inés M. del Puerto , Manuel Serrano-Pastor

Option valuation problems are often solved using standard Monte Carlo (MC) methods. These techniques can often be enhanced using several strategies especially when one discretizes the dynamics of the underlying asset, of which we assume…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 P. P. Osei , A. Jasra

We consider the problem of Bayesian estimation of static parameters associated to a partially and discretely observed diffusion process. We assume that the exact transition dynamics of the diffusion process are unavailable, even up-to an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-26 Pierre Del Moral , Shulan Hu , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat , Xinyu Wang

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

We consider multiscale stochastic systems that are partially observed at discrete points of the slow time scale. We introduce a particle filter that takes advantage of the multiscale structure of the system to efficiently approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2007-10-29 Anastasia Papavasiliou

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Wessel L. van Nierop , Nir Shlezinger , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

We present several results on smoothness in $L_{p}$ sense of filtering densities under the Lipschitz continuity assumption on the coefficients of a partially observable diffusion processes. We obtain them by rewriting in divergence form…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-14 N. V. Krylov

In this work, we develop tracking and estimation techniques relevant to underwater targets. Particularly, we explore particle filtering techniques for target tracking. It is a numerical approximation method for implementing a recursive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-11 T M Feroz Ali

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. In many applications it may be necessary to compute the sensitivity,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh

An important and often overlooked aspect of particle filtering methods is the estimation of unknown static parameters. A simple approach for addressing this problem is to augment the unknown static parameters as auxiliary states that are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-01 Xiaokun Zhao , Marija Iloska , Yousef El-Laham , Mónica F. Bugallo

The particle filter (PF), also known as sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), approximates high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants in the discrete-time setting. To reduce the variance of the Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jianfeng Lu , Yuliang Wang

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Particle filtering is a Bayesian inference method and a fundamental tool in state estimation for dynamic systems, but its effectiveness is often limited by the constraints of the initial prior distribution, a phenomenon we define as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Yiwei Shi , Jingyu Hu , Yu Zhang , Mengyue Yang , Weinan Zhang , Cunjia Liu , Weiru Liu

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang