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Selecting from or ranking a set of candidates variables in terms of their capacity for predicting an outcome of interest is an important task in many scientific fields. A variety of methods for variable selection and ranking have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Zhou Tang , Ted Westling

The causal dose response curve is commonly selected as the statistical parameter of interest in studies where the goal is to understand the effect of a continuous exposure on an outcome.Most of the available methodology for statistical…

The variance reduction established by importance sampling strongly depends on the choice of the importance sampling distribution. A good choice is often hard to achieve especially for high-dimensional integration problems. Nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-10 Jan C. Neddermeyer

Feature selection is an important but challenging task in causal inference for obtaining unbiased estimates of causal quantities. Properly selected features in causal inference not only significantly reduce the time required to implement a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

In this paper, we are concerned with how to select significant variables in semiparametric modeling. Variable selection for semiparametric regression models consists of two components: model selection for nonparametric components and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Runze Li , Hua Liang

We introduce a new nonparametric framework for classification problems in the presence of missing data. The key aspect of our framework is that the regression function decomposes into an anova-type sum of orthogonal functions, of which some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Torben Sell , Thomas B. Berrett , Timothy I. Cannings

Feature importance inference is critical for the interpretability and reliability of machine learning models. There has been increasing interest in developing model-agnostic approaches to interpret any predictive model, often in the form of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Luqin Gan , Lili Zheng , Genevera I. Allen

We introduce a novel framework for human-AI collaboration in prediction and decision tasks. Our approach leverages human judgment to distinguish inputs which are algorithmically indistinguishable, or "look the same" to any feasible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Rohan Alur , Loren Laine , Darrick K. Li , Dennis Shung , Manish Raghavan , Devavrat Shah

Conditional Feature Importance (CFI) is a classical variable importance measure that accounts for the relationship between the studied feature and the others. However, CFI has not yet been studied from a theoretical perspective because the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Angel Reyero-Lobo , Pierre Neuvial , Bertrand Thirion

Our goal is to produce methods for observational causal inference that are auditable, easy to troubleshoot, accurate for treatment effect estimation, and scalable to high-dimensional data. We describe a general framework called…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Quinn Lanners , Harsh Parikh , Alexander Volfovsky , Cynthia Rudin , David Page

Statistical inference with nonresponse is quite challenging, especially when the response mechanism is nonignorable. The existing methods often require correct model specifications for both outcome and response models. However, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Hejian Sang , Kosuke Morikawa

Penalized regression models such as the Lasso have proved useful for variable selection in many fields - especially for situations with high-dimensional data where the numbers of predictors far exceeds the number of observations. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Kasper Brink-Jensen , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm

Given a model $f$ that predicts a target $y$ from a vector of input features $\pmb{x} = x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_M$, we seek to measure the importance of each feature with respect to the model's ability to make a good prediction. To this end, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Luke Merrick

Predictive uncertainties in classification tasks are often a consequence of model inadequacy or insufficient training data. In popular applications, such as image processing, we are often required to scrutinise these uncertainties by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Iker Perez , Piotr Skalski , Alec Barns-Graham , Jason Wong , David Sutton

In this article, we study the problem of variable screening in multiple nonparametric regression model. The proposed methodology is based on the fact that the partial derivative of the regression function with respect to the irrelevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Subhra Sankar Dhar , Prashant Jha , Aranyak Acharyya

Variable importance is central to scientific studies, including the social sciences and causal inference, healthcare, and other domains. However, current notions of variable importance are often tied to a specific predictive model. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-11 Jiayun Dong , Cynthia Rudin

In the era of "big data", it is becoming more of a challenge to not only build state-of-the-art predictive models, but also gain an understanding of what's really going on in the data. For example, it is often of interest to know which, if…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Brandon M. Greenwell , Bradley C. Boehmke , Andrew J. McCarthy

Forecasting is an indispensable element of operational research (OR) and an important aid to planning. The accurate estimation of the forecast uncertainty facilitates several operations management activities, predominantly in supporting…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

Understanding the inner workings of complex machine learning models is a long-standing problem and most recent research has focused on local interpretability. To assess the role of individual input features in a global sense, we explore the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Ian Covert , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

Identifiability describes the possibility of determining the values of the unknown parameters that characterize a dynamic system from the knowledge of its inputs and outputs. This paper finds the general analytical condition that fully…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-03 Agostino Martinelli