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In this paper, we propose algorithms that leverage a known community structure to make group testing more efficient. We consider a population organized in disjoint communities: each individual participates in a community, and its infection…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Pavlos Nikolopoulos , Tao Guo , Sundara Rajan Srinivasavaradhan , Christina Fragouli , Suhas Diggavi

Group testing is an efficient method for testing a large population to detect infected individuals. In this paper, we consider an efficient adaptive two stage group testing scheme. Using a straightforward analysis, we characterize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-26 Arjun Kodialam

The group testing approach that achieves significant cost reduction over the individual testing approach has received a lot of interest lately for massive testing of COVID-19. Many studies simply assume samples mixed in a group are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-12 Yi-Jheng Lin , Che-Hao Yu , Tzu-Hsuan Liu , Cheng-Shang Chang , Wen-Tsuen Chen

Pooling specimens, a well-accepted sampling strategy in biomedical research, can be applied to reduce the cost of studying biomarkers. Even if the cost of a single assay is not a major restriction in evaluating biomarkers, pooling can be a…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-01 Enrique F. Schisterman , Albert Vexler , Aijun Ye , Neil J. Perkins

We develop a statistical model for the testing of disease prevalence in a population. The model assumes a binary test result, positive or negative, but allows for biases in sample selection and both type I (false positive) and type II…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

We show that combining a prediction model (based on neural networks), with a new method of test pooling (better than the original Dorfman method, and better than double-pooling) called 'Grid', we can reduce the number of Covid-19 tests by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Tomer Cohen , Lior Finkelman , Gal Grimberg , Gadi Shenhar , Ofer Strichman , Yonatan Strichman , Stav Yeger

This paper develops an agent-based disease spread model on a contact network in an effort to guide efforts at surveillance testing in small to moderate facilities such as nursing homes and meat-packing plants. The model employs Monte Carlo…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-04 Yanyue Ding , Sudesh K. Agrawal , Jincheng Cao , Lauren Meyers , John J. Hasenbein

Group testing is utilized in the case when we want to find a few defectives among large amount of items. Testing n items one by one requires n tests, but if the ratio of defectives is small, group testing is an efficient way to reduce the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-16 Hiroyasu Matsushima , Yusuke Tajima , Xiao-Nan Lu , Masakazu Jimbo

In epidemic or pandemic situations, resources for testing the infection status of individuals may be scarce. Although group testing can help to significantly increase testing capabilities, the (repeated) testing of entire populations can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-29 Günther Koliander , Georg Pichler

Suppressing SARS-CoV-2 will likely require the rapid identification and isolation of infected individuals, on an ongoing basis. RT-PCR (reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction) tests are accurate but costly, making regular testing…

We consider real-time timely tracking of infection status (e.g., covid-19) of individuals in a population. In this work, a health care provider wants to detect infected people as well as people who have recovered from the disease as quickly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Melih Bastopcu , Sennur Ulukus

In this paper, we propose algorithms that leverage a known community structure to make group testing more efficient. We consider a population organized in connected communities: each individual participates in one or more communities, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Pavlos Nikolopoulos , Sundara Rajan Srinivasavaradhan , Tao Guo , Christina Fragouli , Suhas Diggavi

We propose `Tapestry', a novel approach to pooled testing with application to COVID-19 testing with quantitative Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) that can result in shorter testing time and conservation of reagents…

We present several related methods for creating confidence intervals to assess disease prevalence in variety of survey sampling settings. These include simple random samples with imperfect tests, weighted sampling with perfect tests, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Damon Bayer , Michael Fay , Barry Graubard

This paper examines the statistical properties of a distributional form that arises from pooled testing for the prevalence of a binary outcome. Our base distribution is a two-parameter distribution using a prevalence and excess intensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-11 Ben O'Neill , Angus McLure

We propose a new method to estimate the time-varying effective (or instantaneous) reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The method is based on a discrete-time stochastic augmented compartmental model that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-27 A. Hasan , H. Susanto , V. R. Tjahjono , R. Kusdiantara , E. R. M. Putri , P. Hadisoemarto , N. Nuraini

Current pooling rules for multiply imputed data assume infinite populations. In some situations this assumption is not feasible as every unit in the population has been observed, potentially leading to over-covered population estimates. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Gerko Vink , Stef van Buuren

Coronavirus case-count data has influenced government policies and drives most epidemiological forecasts. Limited testing is cited as the key driver behind minimal information on the COVID-19 pandemic. While expanded testing is laudable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Walter Dempsey

Large-scale testing is considered key to assess the state of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, the link between the reported case numbers and the true state of the pandemic remains elusive. We develop mathematical models based on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-04 Michel Besserve , Simon Buchholz , Bernhard Schölkopf

We propose two-stage adaptive pooling schemes, 2-STAP and 2-STAMP, for detecting COVID-19 using real-time reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) test kits. Similar to the Tapestry scheme of Ghosh et al., the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Anoosheh Heidarzadeh , Krishna R. Narayanan