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Variations in individuals' perceptions of vaccination and decision-making processes can give rise to poor vaccination coverage. The future vaccination promotion programs will benefit from understanding this heterogeneity amongst groups…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 Azadeh Aghaeeyan , Mark A. Lewis , Pouria Ramazi

Urbanization has a strong impact on the health and wellbeing of populations across the world. Predictive spatial modeling of urbanization therefore can be a useful tool for effective public health planning. Many spatial urbanization models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Tang Li , Jing Gao , Xi Peng

Computer Vision practitioners must thoroughly understand their model's performance, but conditional evaluation is complex and error-prone. In biometric verification, model performance over continuous covariates---real-number attributes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Mel McCurrie , Hamish Nicholson , Walter J. Scheirer , Samuel Anthony

Quality by design in pharmaceutical manufacturing hinges on computational methods and tools that are capable of accurate quantitative prediction of the design space. This paper investigates Bayesian approaches to design space…

Although the recent rise and uptake of COVID-19 vaccines in the United States has been encouraging, there continues to be significant vaccine hesitancy in various geographic and demographic clusters of the adult population. Surveys, such as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Sara Melotte , Mayank Kejriwal

During various stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, countries implemented diverse vaccine management approaches, influenced by variations in infrastructure and socio-economic conditions. This article provides a comprehensive overview of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Shibshankar Dey , Ali Kaan Kurbanzade , Esma S. Gel , Joseph Mihaljevic , Sanjay Mehrotra

Machine learning methods have seen increased application to geospatial environmental problems, such as precipitation nowcasting, haze forecasting, and crop yield prediction. However, many of the machine learning methods applied to mosquito…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-09 Adam Tonks , Trevor Harris , Bo Li , William Brown , Rebecca Smith

How to allocate vaccines over heterogeneous individuals is one of the important policy decisions in pandemic times. This paper develops a procedure to estimate an individualized vaccine allocation policy under limited supply, exploiting…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-25 Toru Kitagawa , Guanyi Wang

In this work we analyze the evolution of voluntary vaccination in networked populations by entangling the spreading dynamics of an influenza-like disease with an evolutionary framework taking place at the end of each influenza season so…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Alessio Cardillo , Catalina Reyes-Suárez , Fernando Naranjo , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Knowledge of population distribution is critical for building infrastructure, distributing resources, and monitoring the progress of sustainable development goals. Although censuses can provide this information, they are typically conducted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Isaac Neal , Sohan Seth , Gary Watmough , Mamadou S. Diallo

To better understand the dynamics of human settlements, thorough knowledge of the uncertainty in geospatial built-up surface datasets is critical. While frameworks for localized accuracy assessments of categorical gridded data have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-23 Johannes H. Uhl , Stefan Leyk

The problem of validating or criticising models for georeferenced data is challenging, since the conclusions can vary significantly depending on the locations of the validation set. This work proposes the use of cross-validation techniques…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-19 Viviana G R Lobo , Thaís C O da Fonseca , Fernando A S Moura

Surveys are a crucial tool for understanding public opinion and behavior, and their accuracy depends on maintaining statistical representativeness of their target populations by minimizing biases from all sources. Increasing data size…

Mathematical and computational modeling approaches are increasingly used as quantitative tools in the analysis and forecasting of infectious disease epidemics. The growing need for realism in addressing complex public health questions is…

The general principles of Bayesian data analysis imply that models for survey responses should be constructed conditional on all variables that affect the probability of inclusion and nonresponse, which are also the variables used in survey…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-06 Andrew Gelman

A central feature of an emerging infectious disease in a pandemic scenario is the spread through geographical scales and the impacts on different locations according to the adopted mitigation protocols. We investigated a stochastic epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-13 Guilherme S. Costa , Wesley Cota , Silvio C. Ferreira

Mathematical models are established tools to assist in outbreak response. They help characterise complex patterns in disease spread, simulate control options to assist public health authorities in decision-making, and longer-term…

Cascade models are central to understanding, predicting, and controlling epidemic spreading and information propagation. Related optimization, including influence maximization, model parameter inference, or the development of vaccination…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Rebekka Burkholz , John Quackenbush

This paper develops mathematical tools to estimate seasonal changes in measles transmission rates and corresponding variation in population susceptibility. The tools are designed to leverage times series of cases in the absence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-17 Niket Thakkar , Sonia Jindal , Katherine Rosenfeld

This study explores the vaccine prioritization strategy to reduce the overall burden of the pandemic when the supply is limited. Existing methods conduct macro-level or simplified micro-level vaccine distribution by assuming the homogeneous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Lu Ling , Washim Uddin Mondal , Satish V , Ukkusuri
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