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We propose a modelling framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of heterogeneous, multi-scale cellular populations. We illustrate our methodology with a particular example in which we study a population with an oxygen-regulated…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-09-01 Roberto de la Cruz , Pilar Guerrero , Fabian Spill , Tomás Alarcón

We study the continuous-time evolution of the recombination equation of population genetics. This evolution is given by a differential equation that acts on a product probability space, and its solution can be described by a Markov chain on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Ian Letter , Servet Martínez

Optimising probabilistic models is a well-studied field in statistics. However, its connection with the training of generative models remains largely under-explored. In this paper, we show that the evolution of time-varying generative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Song Liu , Leyang Wang , Yakun Wang

In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-22 Tamás Biró , Zoltán Néda

Stochastic processes generated by non-stationary distributions are difficult to represent with conventional models such as Gaussian processes. This work presents Recurrent Autoregressive Flows as a method toward general stochastic process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-20 John Mern , Peter Morales , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

We investigate a class of growing graphs embedded into the $d$-dimensional torus where new vertices arrive according to a Poisson process in time, are randomly placed in space and connect to existing vertices with a probability depending on…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Peter Gracar , Arne Grauer , Lukas Lüchtrath , Peter Mörters

The analysis in this paper helps to explain the formation of growing networks with degree distributions that follow extended exponential or power-law tails. We present a generic model in which edge dynamics are driven by a continuous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-12 Jan Medina-López , Jorge Finke

The study of density-dependent stochastic population processes is important from a historical perspective as well as from the perspective of a number of existing and emerging applications today. In more recent applications of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Yingdong Lu , Mark Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

We present a general approach for studying autoregressive categorical time series models with dependence of infinite order and defined conditional on an exogenous covariate process. To this end, we adapt a coupling approach, developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Lionel Truquet

Mathematical models of motility are often based on random-walk descriptions of discrete individuals that can move according to certain rules. It is usually the case that large masses concentrated in small regions of space have a great…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-23 Carles Falcó

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

In this thesis the properties of two kinds of non-uniform random recursive trees are studied. In the first model weights are assigned to each node, thus altering the attachment probabilities. We will call these trees weighted recursive…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Ella Hiesmayr

This paper demonstrates a new regeneration processes technology making use of positive stable distributions. We study the asymptotic behavior of branching processes with a randomly controlled migration component. Using the new method, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 George P. Yanev , Kosto V. Mitov , Nickolay M. Yanev

Traditionally, population models distinguish individuals on the basis of their current state. Given a distribution, a discrete time model then specifies (precisely in deterministic models, probabilistically in stochastic models) the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-21 B. Boldin , O. Diekmann , J. A. J. Metz

Quantitative predictions about the processes that promote species coexistence are a subject of active research in ecology. In particular, competitive interactions are known to shape and maintain ecological communities, and situations where…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-22 Jose A. Capitan , Sara Cuenda , David Alonso

Randomized experiments have been critical tools of decision making for decades. However, subjects can show significant heterogeneity in response to treatments in many important applications. Therefore it is not enough to simply know which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Yan Zhao , Xiao Fang , David Simchi-Levi

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

In this paper, we consider networks consisting of a finite number of non-overlapping communities. To extract these communities, the interaction between pairs of nodes may be sampled from a large available data set, which allows a given node…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-20 Se-Young Yun , Alexandre Proutiere

Inspired by scientific collaboration networks, especially our empirical analysis of the network of econophysicists, an evolutionary model for weighted networks is proposed. Both degree-driven and weight-driven models are considered.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Menghui Li , Jinshan Wu , Dahui Wang , Tao Zhou , Zengru Di , Ying Fan

Genealogical networks, also known as family trees or population pedigrees, are commonly studied by genealogists wanting to know about their ancestry, but they also provide a valuable resource for disciplines such as digital demography,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Eric Malmi , Aristides Gionis , Arno Solin