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We derive a forward equation for arbitrage-free barrier option prices, in terms of Markovian projections of the stochastic volatility process, in continuous semi-martingale models. This provides a Dupire-type formula for the coefficient…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 Ben Hambly , Matthieu Mariapragassam , Christoph Reisinger

In a geometric inhomogeneous random graph vertices are given by the points of a Poisson process and are equipped with independent weights following a heavy tailed distribution. Any pair of distinct vertices is independently forming an edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Emmanuel Jacob , Céline Kerriou , Amitai Linker , Peter Mörters

Firstly, we compute the distribution function for the hitting time of a linear time-dependent boundary $t\mapsto a+bt,\ a\geq 0,\,b\in \R,$ by a reflecting Brownian motion. The main tool hereby is Doob's formula which gives the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-10 Paavo Salminen , Marc Yor

In this article we consider a family of real-valued diffusion processes on the time interval $[0,1]$ indexed by their prescribed initial value $x \in \mathbb{R}$ and another point in space, $y \in \mathbb{R}$. We first present an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Florian Hildebrandt , Sylvie Rœlly

We observe that the probability distribution of the Brownian motion with drift $-c \frac x {1-t}$ where $c\not =1$ is singular with respect to that of the classical Brownian bridge measure on $[0,1]$, while their Cameron-Martin spaces are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Xue-Mei Li

Splitting probabilities quantify the likelihood of particular outcomes out of a set of mutually-exclusive possibilities for stochastic processes and play a central role in first-passage problems. For two-dimensional Markov processes…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-08-12 Emir Sezik , Jacob Knight , Henry Alston , Connor Roberts , Thibault Bertrand , Gunnar Pruessner , Luca Cocconi

This paper derives several formulae for the probability that a Wiener process, which has a stochastic drift and random variance, crosses a one-sided stochastic boundary within a finite time interval. A non-explicit formula is first obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Yoann Potiron

Systems where resource availability approaches a critical threshold are common to many engineering and scientific applications and often necessitate the estimation of first passage time statistics of a Brownian motion (Bm) driven by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-05 Annalisa Molini , Peter Talkner , Gabriel G. Katul , Amilcare Porporato

We study the Brownian motion of a classical particle in one-dimensional inhomogeneous environments where the transition probabilities follow quasiperiodic or aperiodic distributions. Exploiting an exact correspondence with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 F. Igloi , L. Turban , H. Rieger

Be $X_t$ a random process starting at $x \in [0,1]$ with absorbing boundary conditions at both ends of the interval. Denote $P_1(x)$ the probability to first exit at the upper boundary. For Brownian motion, $P_1(x)=x$, equivalent to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-13 Kay Joerg Wiese

We give a probabilistic representation of a one-dimensional diffusion equation where the solution is discontinuous at $0$ with a jump proportional to its flux. This kind of interface condition is usually seen as a semi-permeable barrier.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Antoine Lejay

Let $X$ be a Markov process taking values in $\mathbf{E}$ with continuous paths and transition function $(P_{s,t})$. Given a measure $\mu$ on $(\mathbf{E}, \mathscr{E})$, a Markov bridge starting at $(s,\varepsilon_x)$ and ending at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Umut Çetin , Albina Danilova

The motion of weakly inertial Brownian particles, transported by steady two-dimensional fluid flows, is investigated by means of asymptotic methods. We focus on the phenomenon of noise-induced separatrix crossing, which can force particles…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-08 Jean-Régis Angilella

The first of $N$ identical independently distributed (i.i.d.) Brownian trajectories that arrives to a small target, sets the time scale of activation, which in general is much faster than the arrival to the target of only a single…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-17 Kanishka Basnayake , Claire Guerrier , Zeev Schuss , David Holcman

Diffusions are a fundamental class of models in many fields, including finance, engineering, and biology. Simulating diffusions is challenging as their sample paths are infinite-dimensional and their transition functions are typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , Michael Sørensen

This paper proposes and analyses a new multilevel Monte Carlo method for the estimation of mean exit times for multi-dimensional Brownian diffusions, and associated functionals which correspond to solutions to high-dimensional parabolic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Michael B. Giles , Francisco Bernal

A discrete rate theory for general multi-ion channels is presented, in which the continuous dynamics of ion diffusion is reduced to transitions between Markovian discrete states. In an open channel, the ion permeation process involves three…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-06-29 Wan Chen , Radek Erban , S. Jonathan Chapman

We propose a novel stochastic method to exactly generate Brownian paths conditioned to start at an initial point and end at a given final point during a fixed time $t_{f}$. These paths are weighted with a probability given by the overdamped…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Satya N. Majumdar , Henri Orland

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

The diffusion equation is the primary tool to study the movement dynamics of a free Brownian particle, but when spatial heterogeneities in the form of permeable interfaces are present, no fundamental equation has been derived. Here we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-14 Toby Kay , Luca Giuggioli