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Related papers: Stability for Hawkes processes with inhibition

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The Hawkes process, a self-exciting point process, has a wide range of applications in modeling earthquakes, social networks and stock markets. The established estimation process requires that researchers have access to the exact time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Lingxiao Zhou , Georgia Papadogeorgou

The Hawkes process is a simple point process with wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. The Hawkes process is defined for continuous-time setting. However, data is also recorded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

Multi-dimensional Hawkes process (MHP) is a class of self and mutually exciting point processes that find wide range of applications -- from prediction of earthquakes to modelling of order books in high frequency trading. This paper makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Sobin Joseph , Lekhapriya Dheeraj Kashyap , Shashi Jain

For general networks of pulse-coupled oscillators, including regular, random, and more complex networks, we develop an exact stability analysis of synchronous states. As opposed to conventional stability analysis, here stability is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Marc Timme , Fred Wolf , Theo Geisel

Classic results show that the Hawkes self-exciting point process can be viewed as a collection of temporal clusters, where exogenously generated initial events give rise to endogenously driven descendant events. This perspective provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Andrew Daw

Modelling and forecasting the occurrence of extreme events is especially difficult when the event process is nonstationary, with changes in both the rate at which extremes occur and the magnitude of the extremes when they occur. We approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Gordon J. Ross , Dean Markwick

We analyze the asymptotic stability of a nonlinear system of two differential equations with delay describing the dynamics of blood cell production. This process takes place in the bone marrow where stem cells differentiate throughout…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-04-17 Fabien Crauste

We fill the two main remaining gaps in the full classification of non-degenerate planar traveling waves of scalar balance laws from the point of view of spectral and nonlinear stability/instability under smooth perturbations. On one hand we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Louis Garénaux , L. Miguel Rodrigues

Fueled in part by recent applications in neuroscience, the multivariate Hawkes process has become a popular tool for modeling the network of interactions among high-dimensional point process data. While evaluating the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-16 Xu Wang , Mladen Kolar , Ali Shojaie

The emergence of cooperative behavior, despite natural selection favoring rational self-interest, presents a significant evolutionary puzzle. Evolutionary game theory elucidates why cooperative behavior can be advantageous for survival.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Daiki Miyagawa , Genki Ichinose

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 E. Bacry , J. F Muzy

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

The paper considers some class of dynamical systems that called density systems. For such systems the derivative of quadratic function depends on so-called density function. The density function is used to set the properties of phase space,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Igor Furtat

Quantifying the stability of an equilibrium is central in the theory of dynamical systems as well as in engineering and control. A comprehensive picture must include the response to both small and large perturbations, leading to the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-08 Philipp C. Böttcher , Benjamin Schäfer , Stefan Kettemann , Carsten Agert , Dirk Witthaut

Entangled systems are prevalent in both biological and synthetic materials. This study examines the stable configurations of weaves consisting of two families of intertwined threads, such as warp and weft threads. By analyzing the steepest…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Motoko Kotani , Hisashi Naito , Naoki Sakata , Eriko Shinkawa

We discuss mechanisms of self-organization processes in two-level solid-state class-B laser system. The model is considered under assumptions of influence of nonlinear absorber and external force, separately. It was found that…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 E. D. Belokolos , V. O. Kharchenko

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of suitably time-modulated Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed kernels in a nearly unstable regime. We show that, under appropriate scaling, both the intensity processes and the rescaled Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Stacking is a general approach for combining multiple models toward greater predictive accuracy. It has found various application across different domains, ensuing from its meta-learning nature. Our understanding, nevertheless, on how and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Nino Arsov , Martin Pavlovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Coupled relaxation oscillators, realized via chemical or other means, can exhibit a multiplicity of steady states, characterized by spatial patterns resulting from lateral inhibition. We show that perturbation-initiated transformations…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-06-22 A. Parveena Shamim , Shakti N. Menon , Sitabhra Sinha

This paper focuses on a class of linear Hawkes processes with general immigrants. These are counting processes with shot noise intensity, including self-excited and externally excited patterns. For such processes, we introduce the concept…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Alexandre Boumezoued